Week 10 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

As Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season rolls on, strap in for riveting twists and turns.

For one thing, Christian McCaffrey is back. After ghosting us all with a 9-week injury, he’s making his grand entrance. But there’s a risk he may not get a full workload.

Cowboys Nation is in shambles with Dak’s torn hammy, throwing a wrench into the Cowboys’ offense. Pour one out for CeeDee Lamb’s fantasy value.

In Philly, they’ve ditched passing like it’s out of fashion, going run-heavy with Saquon Barkley as their leading man. The bird’s 34% pass-play-ratio boosts his fantasy value—he’s like the steak in a sea of tofu.

Dive into our methodology below for more DraftKings main slate gems.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Kirk Cousins: The veteran QB has enjoyed plenty of success with his new team, especially in the last couple of weeks. The Cuz has seven touchdowns in his most recent two games, to go along with a solid floor of 18.8 fantasy points. The Saints have a depleted defense and a DvPL4 of 29.4 FPs which means they’re vulnerable to a Cousins outburst.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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Atlanta Falcons QB Kirk Cousins (Photo by David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson: New Orleans is ranked 26th in the league in fantasy points allowed to RBs. Robinson has had over 21 fantasy points in each of his last four games. An unstoppable force in Robinson meets a very movable object in the New Orleans Rush defense, meaning Robinson should put up juicy points for the fifth straight week.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 13 & [Prop1TD] < 105 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

Atlanta RB Bijan Robinson (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Quentin Johnston: After missing Week 7 and Week 8, Johnson returned to the lineup ready to put up points. The sophomore pass-catcher hauled in a TD and 118 yards through the air, good for a total of 25.0 fantasy points. With a Tgt%L3 of 19%, Johnson will look to be a healthy part of the LA offense in Week 10.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Chargers WR Quentin Johnston (Photo by Kevin Langley/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: George Kittle: The Buccs have been generous in points allowed to tight ends, with the Tampa Bay D ranked 28th in the NFL in FPs allowed to TEs. Aside from a Week 1 outing with just 8 fantasy points, Kittle has had a floor of 14.5 FPs this season, with over 20 FPs in four of his last five games.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle(Photo by Matthew Huang/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Bears: Before Week 9, the Bears had gone four straight games without giving up 20 points to their opponent. They match up with a New England offense that hasn’t provided much of a threat against opposing Ds, especially in DFS. Chicago is the best team in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to QBs and their D will look to take advantage of the opposing rookie quarterback.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .4, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 9 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

It’s halfway through the season and NFL-DFS-land is sizzling with value for Week 9:

  • Quarterback Shuffles: For those who don’t buy into the ‘get what you pay for’ adage, the Raiders and Panthers are serving up some fire sale QBs in Gardner Minshew ($4.5k) and Bryce Young ($4.4k).
  • Tight End Star in High-Scoring Affair: Sam LaPorta ($4.8k) of the Lions is eyeing a stellar show against the Packers, who can’t seem to keep tight ends in check.
  • Wide Receiver Matchup Goldmine: CeeDee Lamb is the most expensive WR on the slate, probably because he’s set to feast on the Falcons’ defense. Atlanta allows the third most opponent-adjusted Fantasy Points to the WR1 position.

Dive into our methodology below for more DraftKings main slate gems.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Josh Allen: The MVP favorite has had a floor of 20.8 fantasy points the last three weeks while picking up seven touchdowns and throwing just one interception. Miami has been strong against QBs this season, ranking first in the NFL in FPs allowed to the position, but the addition of Amari Cooper (wrist) should continue to be a boon for Allen.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen (Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson: The Atlanta running back has found the endzone in each of his last three games, putting up at least 23.6 fantasy points in every contest. This week Robinson will face a Dallas D ranked 31st in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to running backs. Robinson has also been more involved in the passing game as of late, with over 40 yards recieving in each of the last two weeks.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 13 & [Prop1TD] < -100 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

Atlanta RB Bijan Robinson (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Drake London: The Cowboys have a DvPL4 of 38.4 fantasy points against wide receivers. London has gotten plenty of looks lately, with 37 targets in the last four weeks. With the emergence of Kyle Pitts further opening up the passing game and a spread of 52.0 points, London should have ample opportunity to prey on the Dallas defense.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Atlanta Falcons WR Drake London (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Sam LaPorta: While LaPorta has had a bit of a rough go of things this season, he has picked it up lately with touchdowns in two of his last three games. LaPorta also matches up with a Green Bay D ranked 23rd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. LaPorta grabbed all six of his targets in Week 8 and will look to build upon that strong performance against a vulnerable Packers defense.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Detroit Lions TE Sam LaPorta Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Titans: The Titans have managed to hold their opponents to less than 100 passing yards in two of their last four games. Against a New England offense ranked in the bottom third of the NFL in putting up fantasy points against opposing defenses, Tennessee could prove to be a good value defense.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .4, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 8 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

Here’s DFS Hub’s Week 8 look at what’s cooking in NFL fantasyland:

  • Bo Nix Runs: The Broncos’ QB is like a Swiss Army knife against a Panthers defense that’s as tough as wet tissue paper, allowing the fifth-most DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points to QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa’s Comeback: He’s back. After a Week 2 concussion, Tua might make Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle look like they were shot out of a cannon against the Cardinals’ flimsy pass defense.
  • Jalen McMillan’s New Spotlight: With Godwin out for good and Evans benched until Week 12, McMillan’s the main man in Tampa Bay.
  • 49ers vs. Cowboys DFS Bonanza: This game is basically DFS Christmas, especially for those eyeing 49ers’ offensive players. Grab your presents early in this one.

Read on for more player gems from DraftKings’ main slate, and a peek into our methodology.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Caleb Williams: The Chicago rookie has a solid Cost/Op this week, the best of our QB shortlist. With Williams projected to have many opportunities against a middling Washington D, the Bears QB could provide DFS players with ample value in Week 8. Williams has been hot lately, with over 23.0 fantasy points in three of his last four games, while picking up nine touchdowns across that stretch.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams (Photo by Shaun Brooks/Action Plus/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Javonte Williams: Carolina has a DvPL4 of 37.8 FPs, and Williams just scored his first two touchdowns of the season in Week 7. Williams has also surpassed 100 all-purpose yards in two of his last three games, and a matchup with the league’s worst defense in points allowed to RBs could be a recipe for more. With a Tgt%L3 of 18%, Williams will have ample opportunity to rack up points.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 13 & [Prop1TD] < -100 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

Denver Broncos RB Javonte Williams (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Tim Patrick: With Jameson Williams out of the lineup, Tim Patrick moves up the depth chart of an electric Lions offense. Patrick has the lowest TDCost of our WR shortlist, and with a salary of just $3,500, a touchdown would quickly provide DFS players with some sneaky value. With Sam LaPorta struggling to get things going this season, Patrick may step up for Detroit’s in Week 8.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Detroit Lions WR Tim Patrick (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Tucker Kraft: With four TDs in the last four weeks, Kraft sees the ball often in the red zone. The Green Bay pass catcher matches up with a Jacksonville D ranked 28th in the league in FPs allowed to tight ends. With a DvPL4 of nearly 20, Kraft could put points on the board.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Green Bay Packers TE Tucker Kraft (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Denver Broncos: The Panthers will be without Diontae Johnson and Adam Thielen. The struggling Bryce Young will be slotting back in at quarterback. If things weren’t bleak enough for Carolina’s offense, they’re facing a Denver D with at least 11 fantasy points in three of the last four weeks.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .4, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 7 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

Week 7’s NFL menu is hotter than a jalapeño-eating contest in hell.

  • First, the Detroit Lions (4-1) are prowling into Viking territory (5-0) for a cage match to crown the NFC North leader.
  • Next, we have a Super Bowl LVIII encore as the Chiefs battle the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium.
  • On an individual player note, all eyes are on the Browns’ Nick Chubb. His return from a stomach-turning knee injury could be the lifeline the Browns’ offense needs.

Storylines aside, we’ve crunched more numbers than a calculus textbook to sniff out Week 7’s gems. Use these ideas to sprinkle potential magic on your DraftKings’ main slate lineup.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Jared Goff: Goff has thrown for over 290 yards in each of his last two games to go along with five TDs and no interceptions. The Lions QB is averaging over 21 fantasy points per game and should not be too highly impacted by Minnesota’s D, which ranks 9th overall in FPs allowed to QBs. It was just two weeks ago that Goff torched the 3rd ranked Seattle D for 27.2 fantasy points, showing that no matchup is too tough for the veteran quarterback.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.3 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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Detroit Lions QB Jared Goff (Photo by Matthew Pearce/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson: The young Atlanta RB finally showed his first round potential last week as he picked up over 100 yards and two touchdowns. Robinson should be able to keep the good times rolling as he matches up with the Seahawks, who have a DvPL4 of 28.9 fantasy points. If the Falcons can improve upon his Tgt%L3 of 11%, Robinson should be able to take his game to the next level.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 14 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .3 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

Atlanta Falcons RB Bijan Robinson (Photo by John Byrum/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Noah Brown: Brown has had a floor of three receptions in each game he’s played this season. After a team-high eight targets in Week 6, Brown could be poised to put up points against a bad Carolina defense. The Panthers own a DvPL4 of 39.6 FPs against wide receivers and with the continued emergence of Jadyen Daniels, the low-priced Brown ($4,000) will have the chance to provide good value.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Washington Commanders WR Noah Brown (Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: George Kittle: The Niners are favorites this weekend as they play host to KC and Kittle will have every chance to shine against a Chiefs D ranked 31st in the NFL in FPs allowed to tight ends. Kittle has seen a median of 2.0 Red Zone Opportunities in the last four weeks and has scored at least one touchdown in each of those games. With a Tgt%L4 of 22%, the veteran TE will have plenty of chances to put up numbers against a vulnerable Kansas City defense.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 2 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle (Photo by Matthew Huang/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Eagles: The Birds have given up less than 150 yards through the air in two of their last three games. Against a Giants offense ranked just 26th in the NFL in FPs put up against opposing defenses, the Eagles will look to terrorize a turnover prone Daniel Jones. The Giants QB has also managed just two touchdowns in the last three weeks and with star wide receiver Malik Nabers nursing some injuries, this could prove to be a money matchup for the Philly D.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 6 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

It’s Week 6, and NFL weatherman will be hard at work. Keep your eyes peeled on those forecasts, as the rain probabilities are high in multiple games.

That aside, and after examining all 10 contests for this Sunday, October 13, DFS Hub has posted its Week 6 DFS cheat sheet below. The mission: use the site’s player filters and predictive metrics to spotlight fantasy value.

So, let’s skip the drumroll and dive right in to DFS Hub’s VIP list for DraftKings’ week 6 main slate.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Jordan Love: Despite throwing five interceptions in three games, Jordan Love is averaging nearly 23 fantasy points per game on the season. Love’s Week 6 opponent, the Arizona Cardinals, rank 23rd in the NFL in FPs allowed to QBs. With the return of Romeo Doubs to the lineup, Love will have plenty of opportunity to exceed his solid floor of 17 FPs.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson: It’s no secret that Bijan Robinson has had some trouble living up to his price tag so far this season. If there was ever a game to get it right however, it’ll be against the league’s worst ranked D in fantasy points allowed to running backs. The Carolina Panthers have a DvPL4 of 32.2 FPs, and Robinson will have a good shot at exceeding 100 yards for the first time this season.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 14 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

Atlanta Falcons RB Bijan Robinson (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Jayden Reed: Reed has been peppered with 20 targets the last three weeks, which has led to the WR averaging 89 yards through the air per game. With 23% of Green Bay targets going to Reed during his previous three games, Reed and Love have a chance to feast against an Arizona D that is ranks in the middle of the league in FPs allowed to wide receivers.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed (Photo by Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Cade Otton: Otton has had a floor of 44 yards and a ceiling of 52 yards during the last three weeks. With 21 targets in those games, Otton has become a reliable and affordable tight end for DFS players to slot into their lineups. The New Orleans Saints are ranked 22nd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to tight ends and Otton should be a beneficiary of that generous defense.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Cade Otton (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers have forced eight turnovers on the season and no opponent has put up more than 27 points against them thus far. The Raiders are once again without Davante Adams and with their QB room in turmoil, the Steelers will look to feast on a vulnerable offense.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 5 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

Week 5 is here, and finally, there are four weeks of current-season data to analyze matchups. After dissecting all 12 contests for this Sunday, October 6, we’ve compiled the Week 5 DFS cheat sheet below. The mission: highlight value plays that showcase the site’s player filters and predictive metrics.

So, without further ado, here’s DFS Hub’s VIP (very important player) list for today’s DraftKings main slate — along with reasons why these players are top-shelf.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Caleb Williams: The rookie QB enters Week 5 with a juicy matchup against a Carolina D sporting a DvPL4 of 19.8 fantasy points. While Williams has failed to eclipse at least 12 FPs in three of his four games, the Bears quarterback has averaged over 230 yards per game since his Week 1 outing of just 93 passing yards. Against a poor D, Williams will have a chance to provide solid value with his $5,800 DraftKings salary.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams (Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Jordan Mason: Mason continues to dominate with CMC out of the lineup and this week should be no different with a matchup against an Arizona defense ranked 28th in the league in fantasy points allowed to running backs. Mason has also gotten more involved in the passing game, with a season-high 37 receiving yards and three targets in Week 4. With TDs in three of four games, Mason provides a pretty safe floor.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 15 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

San Francisco 49ers RB Jordan Mason (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Jayden Reed: With Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs out of the lineup, Reed will have plenty of opportunities to be the lead pass catcher for Green Bay. Reed made the most of his eight targets in Week 4, hauling in 139 yards in a touchdown. Against an LA Rams D ranked 27th in the league in FPs allowed to wide receivers, Reed might be in line for one of Week 5’s biggest performances.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed (Photo by Larry Radloff/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Tucker Kraft: Reed wasn’t the only player who saw considerable target share in Week 4, as Kraft’s nine targets were more than he’d seen through his first three games. The Rams are right at the bottom of the league in FPs allowed to tight ends, ranked 29th overall. Kraft should also be a beneficiary of Green Bay’s banged-up pass catchers, and with a DraftKings salary of just $3,500, he’s a great Week 5 value play.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Green Bay Packers TE Tucker Kraft (Photo by Larry Radloff/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Denver Broncos: The Denver D has put up double-digit points in three of their four games this season while not once allowing more than 185 passing yards. The Raiders offense is in flux, and without Davante Adams there aren’t many threats in their lineup.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 4 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

Week 4 looks like a thriller. Among the marquee matchups:

Aaron Rodgers is favored by over a touchdown at home against the Denver Broncos.

Sam Darnold’s Minnesota Vikings visit the Green Bay Packers in a divisional clash.

After dissecting all the matchups, DFS Hub presents the Week 4 DFS cheat sheet below. Its mission: spotlighting top picks and showcasing the site’s player filters, using our standard weekly criteria by position.

So, without further ado, here’s a peek at the Hub’s DraftKings main slate VIP list—plus the lowdown on why these players are the crème de la crème.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Kyler Murray: Murray matches up with an absolutely dreadful Washington D that ranks dead last in the NFL in fantasy allowed to QBs. The Commanders have a DvPL4 of 27.9 FPs which certainly bodes well for Murray, who has also contributed an average of over 50 yards per game this season on the ground.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams that’ll score more than average, with good pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage. And we sort by the highest Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt [ANY/A].

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by highest [ANY/A]
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(Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Jordan Mason: Mason has a snap share of 81% in his three games this season with no signs of slowing down. The CMC replacement has had a solid floor this year, with 88 total yards being his season low. Against a middling New England run D (ranked 14th in the league in FPs allowed to running backs,) Mason should be able to maintain that floor.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 15 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].

(Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Michael Wilson: With Trey McBride out of the lineup, Wilson could be the beneficiary of Kyler Murray’s tosses. Wilson saw 9 targets in Week 3 while putting up a season-high 14.4 fantasy points. Similar to its inability to contain QBs, the Washington D is ranked 32nd in the NFL in FPs allowed to wide receivers. With Marvin Harrison Jr. sure to take up much of Washington’s focus, Wilson should have opportunities to fill up the stat sheet.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 5 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest implied TD cost [TDCost].
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(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Elijah Higgins: Higgins slides in to replace Trey McBride in a game that we clearly feel will be filled with fantasy gems. With a DraftKings salary of $3,100, the price tag is friendly on Higgins as well. Higgins will only need to chip in a little more than 9 fantasy points to provide DFS players with 3.0X value. So, while TD dependant (and his TD prop line isn’t that bad at +223), Higgins has the potential for value.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [PrjOps] > 3 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
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(Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Steelers: For the third week in a row, we’re going with the black and gold. Indy QB Anthony Richardson is coming off of back to back duds with 5 interceptions across two games. The Steelers are stellar against the run, ranked 2nd in the league in fewest fantasy points allowed to running backs. So if the Colts were thinking they could lean on Jonathan Taylor instead of their quarterback, they may be in for a rude awakening.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)] <3.6 & [Spread] < 3 & ranked by highest [QBHits%L4].

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Week 3 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

Below you’ll find DFS Hub’s week 3 cheat sheet. It gives you a taste of how the site’s filters work while revealing top plays based on DFS Hub’s weekly criteria.

The purpose is to show the community how filters are used in lineup creation. So, without further ado, here’s a peek at the DraftKings VIP list for the main slate — plus the scoop on why these players are cream of the crop.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Baker Mayfield: Through the first two games of the season, Mayfield has amassed 474 passing yards, five touchdowns, and a passer rating of 129.1, ranking second in the NFL. He’s completing 73.5% of his passes for 9.7 yards per attempt with 5 TDs. Mayfield, Evans (WR) and Godwin (WR) should expose Denver’s stingy pass defense in the Florida heat. Expect the Bucs to start 3-0 for the first time since 2005.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams that’ll score more than average, with good pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage. And we sort by the highest Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt [ANY/A].

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by highest [ANY/A]
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(Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Alvin Kamara: The Eagles’ run defense has been porous through the first two games, allowing an NFL-high 6.4 yards per carry and 157.5 rushing yards per game. Kamara, fresh off a dominant Week 2 where he amassed 115 rushing yards, three rushing touchdowns, and 65 receiving yards with a touchdown catch, is well-positioned to exploit these defensive shortcomings.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 15 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].

(Photo by Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Jaxon Smith-Njigba: The Seahawks’ offense is showing increased aggression in the passing game, as evidenced by quarterback Geno Smith’s 327 passing yards in Week 2. Building on his career-high 12 receptions for 117 yards in Week 2, Smith-Njigba should see continued high target volume and production against a mid-tier Miami pass D.

Honorable mention: Jameson Williams

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 5 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest opportunity cost [Cost/Op].
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(Photo by Matthew Maxey/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Cade Otton: Cade Otton is a reliable weapon with “pure hands,” says his QB Baker Mayfield. His 1 yard receiving through two games isn’t very inspiring, but that’s what makes him a sneaky candidate for a rebound play. In fact, the Buccs’ OC even apologized for not getting him more involved. Expect more opportunities for Otton this week, and the Broncos may not be expecting it. That said, this is an example of when DFS Hub’s filters need human filtering. This one is a riskier GPP play only.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [PrjOps] > 3 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
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(Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Steelers: We go back to the well with the Steelers. Through the first two games of the season, they’ve allowed just 16 points, ranking second in the NFL for points allowed per game. Their run defense has been particularly stout, conceding only 76.5 rushing yards per game, the fourth-best in the league. The main appeal for DFS, however, is their T.J. Watt-led pass rush which is two standard deviations above the pack, based on PFF grading.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)] <3.6 & [Spread] < 3 & ranked by highest [QBHits%L4].

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Week 2 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

The NFL’s week two is here and we almost have to pinch ourselves. This week, DFS Hub is doing something a little different with the cheat sheet. To show what the site’s filters are made of, we’re revealing the top plays based on DFS Hub’s weekly criteria.

The purpose is to show the community how filters are used in lineup creation. So, without further ado, here’s a peek at the DraftKing’s VIP list for the main slate — plus the scoop on why these players are cream of the crop.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Anthony Richardson, after a tough Week 1 loss, is ready to ignite the Colts with plays that should probably require a fire permit. This blockbuster double-threat has a cannon that’s a registered weapon (exhibit A: this 60-yard bomb to Pierce last week). This week, he gets the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau, a team that coughed up 34 points and over 270+ passing yards to the Eagles last week.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams that’ll score more than average, with good pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage. And we sort by the highest Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt [ANY/A].

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by highest [ANY/A]
​​​

(Photo by Michael Allio/Icon Sportswire)

To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Yes, Jahmyr Gibbs splits time with David Montgomery, but that’s okay—because he also moonlights as a receiver. Gibbs’s speed, hands and big play ability make him too hard to pass up. The Lions will try to effectively utilize Gibbs in space, and that could be a difference-maker in this game. Against a Buccaneers defense that generously gifted 101 receiving yards to running backs in Week 1, Gibbs is poised to run through them like a ghost.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RB’s with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 15 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].

(Photo by Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire)

Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: After catching 14 passes for 110 yards last week, Cooper Kupp will look to exploit Arizona’s secondary. With Matthew Stafford back in form, it’s all about target share. Expect Kupp to be the Rams’ offensive go-to with Puka Nacua sidelined. Kupp has an 86.5 yard over/under prop and a healthy -117 TD moneyline.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WR’s with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 5 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest opportunity cost [Cost/Op].
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(Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Luke Schoonmaker should replace Jake Ferguson (doubtful, knee) and represents a low-cost lottery ticket at the position. The second-year Michigan product played all 17 games last season and caught a whopping eight passes on 15 targets for 65 yards and two touchdowns. Backup John Stephens (hamstring) will also be out. Could this start be Schoonmaker’s breakout game? We’ll pay the $2,900 to see.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary . We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [PrjOps] > 2 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
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(Photo by Matthew Pearce/Icon Sportswire)

Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: The Steelers’ defense looks like that garage sale bargain you can’t ignore. Facing off against the Broncos, Pittsburgh’s elite pass rush is set to feast on Denver’s makeshift O-line. With T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith revving up, expect a sack fest and some turnover treats.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)] <3.6 & [Spread] < 3 & ranked by highest [QBHits%L4].

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Week 1 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2024

Strap in, pigskin addicts. NFL kickoff is imminent!

Week 1 is about to hit us like a linebacker on a blitz. From Mahomes’ magic in KC to Rodgers’ rebirth in the Big Apple, we’ve got a smorgasbord of gridiron glory that’ll make your head spin faster than a flea-flicker.

Rookies like Caleb Williams and Marvin Harrison Jr. are ready to prove their worth, veterans are out to show they’ve still got it, and somewhere, a kicker is praying not to become this week’s meme.

Whether you’re riding the Bijan hype train or betting on Burrow to torch the Pats, this slate’s got more potential than a young Tom Brady at the combine. So grab your lucky jersey, set those lineups, and get ready for a week that’s as unpredictable as a Travis Kelce interview.

Football’s back, baby, and it’s time to make your significant other hate Sundays again!


Thursday, Sept. 5

Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs

Favorite: Chiefs -3

Over/Under: 46.5

DraftKings Slates: Thursday Showdown, Main 

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Patrick Mahomes (QB, $15,600), Travis Kelce (TE, $14,400), Lamar Jackson (QB, $17,100)

DFS Analysis:

The offense in this year’s NFL opener should be hotter than a Patrick Mahomes’ haircut. We suspect Mahomes and Kelce will connect for a score faster than you can say “touchdown dance.” As for Lamar, he’s a dual-threat beast, but he needs to avoid turnovers. WR Zay Flowers could shine as a sneaky flex option, especially with Kansas City’s secondary potentially vulnerable. The Ravens’ defense might struggle to contain Mahomes at Arrowhead, making a Chiefs’ stack more tempting than free healthcare.

(Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire)

Friday, Sept. 6

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Favorite: Eagles -2.5

Over/Under: 48.5

DraftKings Slates: Friday Showdown, Main 

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Jalen Hurts (QB, $7,300), A.J. Brown (WR, $8,000), Jordan Love (QB, $6,400)

DFS Analysis: Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown are primed to feast on the Packers’ secondary like it’s an all-you-can-eat buffet. Jordan Love’s continued breakout could lead to a high-scoring affair, but RB Josh Jacobs is merely a flyer mid-tier DFS option against Philly’s run defense. The Eagles’ D is strong, but they lose their home field edge in Brazil. If Love keeps it close, this one could be a fantasy bonanza. But good luck picking his targets.


Sunday, Sept. 8

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons

Favorite: Falcons -3

Over/Under: 41

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Bijan Robinson (RB, $7,700), George Pickens (WR, $5,700), Drake London (WR, $6,000)

DFS Analysis: The Falcons are going to run more than Charlie Sheen from alimony payments. That makes Bijan Robinson’s the main course in Atlanta’s offensive buffet. George Pickens offers contrarian value in GPPs, but expect the Falcons’ run-heavy approach to dominate the game flow. Drake London’s target volume makes him a solid mid-tier option, especially against a potentially vulnerable Steelers secondary.


Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills

Favorite: Bills -5.5

Over/Under: 48

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Josh Allen (QB, $8,000), James Conner (RB, $6,200), Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR, $7,200)

DFS Analysis: Josh Allen may treat the Cardinals like a game of Madden on rookie mode. He’s one of the top QB DFS plays of Week 1. On the Cardinals’ side, James Conner could see volume, but game script may limit his upside. Marvin Harrison Jr. offers boom-or-bust potential, but the Cardinals’ passing attack might struggle against Buffalo’s defense, reducing Harrison’s DFS appeal.

(Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire)

Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears

Favorite: Bears -4

Over/Under: 43

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Keenan Allen (WR, $6,900), Caleb Williams (QB, $5,900), Calvin Ridley (WR, $5,800)

DFS Analysis: Keenan Allen will be a security blanket for rookie quarterback Caleb Williams. The veteran wide receiver’s ceiling in his Chicago debut? Higher than Snoop Dogg at a Cypress Hill concert. Meanwhile, Calvin Ridley will be making his first appearance as a member of the Tennesee Titans. He should be the top option on their offense, especially if WR Hopkins doesn’t suit up.


New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals

Favorite: Bengals -9

Over/Under: 42

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Joe Burrow (QB, $8,400), Ja’Marr Chase (QB, $9,100)

DFS Analysis: Burrow and Chase should torch the Pats’ secondary like marshmallows at a campfire. Patriots’ RB Rhamondre Stevenson offers a respectable floor due to volume, but the Patriots’ offense could struggle to keep pace, so he may lose touches late in the game.


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins

Favorite: Dolphins -3.5

Over/Under: 49

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Tua Tagovailoa (QB, $7,000), Tyreek Hill (WR, $8,700), Trevor Lawrence (QB, $6,200)

DFS Analysis: This matchup has more shootout potential than a drug bust gone bad. If your cash game budget allows, you’ll want to stack Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill like IHOP pancakes. Trevor Lawrence will need to air it out, making him a solid DFS option as well. And don’t forget RB Travis Etienne, whose receiving skills could make him a PPR sleeper.

(Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts

Favorite: Texans -2

Over/Under: 42

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: C.J. Stroud (QB, $7,500), Stefon Diggs (WR, $6,700), Michael Pittman Jr. ($6,800)

DFS Analysis: This Texans’ passing attack should be as explosive as cousin Eddie after his third burrito. C.J. Stroud’s connection with Stefon Diggs makes them an elite DFS stack against a rebuilding Colts defense. Jonathan Taylor’s availability and health could make or break the Colts’ chances. Michael Pittman Jr. offers solid mid-range DFS value, as Indy may be playing catch-up and revert to the pass.


Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints

Favorite: Saints -3.5

Over/Under: 40

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Derek Carr (QB, $5,300), Chris Olave (WR, $6,600)

DFS Analysis: Chris Olave is set to be Derek Carr’s top target and a cost-effective Week 1 DFS play. Bryce Young may soil the bed and is too risky of an option. Miles Sanders will see double-digit touches, but the Saints’ defense—which is tougher than a two-dollar steak—could curb his upside. It may be best to avoid the Carolina offense altogether.


Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants

Favorite: Vikings -1

Over/Under: 41.5

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Early, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Aaron Jones (RB, $6,500), Malik Nabers (WR, $5,900)

DFS Analysis: Justin Jefferson is normally a top DFS play but with Darnold under center, it’s chancy at $8,400. Aaron Jones provides strong value as the lead back. WR Malik Nabers could be a high-ceiling option. Given his legs, Daniel Jones could be your contrarian ticket to DFS glory – or therapy.


Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers

Favorite: Chargers -3.5

Over/Under: 42.5

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Afternoon, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Justin Herbert (QB, $5,800), Ladd McConkey (WR, $4,700), Gardner Minshew II (QB, $5,300)

DFS Analysis: Herbert’s health is more questionable than Lindsay Lohan’s life choices. If he and his arm cannon are back to 100%, Herbert is the Chargers’ top DFS play. Although, that doesn’t say much as LA’s suspect receiving corps faces a solid Raiders defense. On the Vegas side of the ball, Davante Adams is a risky option with Gardner Minshew II under center. Consider Adams more of a GPP play.

(Photo by Larry Radloff/Icon Sportswire)

Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks

Favorite: Seahawks -5

Over/Under: 42.5

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Afternoon, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Geno Smith (QB, $5,500), D.K. Metcalf (WR, $6,200), Javonte Williams ($5,500)

DFS Analysis: Averaging 15.8 FPs at home last year, Geno Smith won’t win you any Super Bowls. Nonetheless, he’s got the targets to hit his 30+ FP ceiling on occasion. Metcalf is a matchup nightmare and a strong mid-tier WR play in DFS lineups. In Denver, Javonte Williams is another year removed from his injury. He’ll look to start his season on a high note against a rickety Seahawks run D.


Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns

Favorite: Browns -2.5

Over/Under: 43

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Afternoon, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: CeeDee Lamb (WR, $8,900)

DFS Analysis: CeeDee Lamb is the only blue-chip stock in this contest. Both QBs are more like investing in crypto – high risk, potentially high reward. Dak Prescott might struggle against a strong Browns defense, making him a risky option. Watson has played just 12 games in two seasons. And you know things are bad in Dallas when you have to re-sign Zeke Elliott. We’ll sidestep this contest.


Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Favorite: Buccaneers -3

Over/Under: 42.5

DraftKings Slates: Sunday Afternoon, Main, and Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Baker Mayfield ($5,600), Mike Evans ($7,300), Terry McLaurin ($6,000)

DFS Analysis: Mike Evans is a reliable mid-tier DFS option with Baker Mayfield providing solid value if the Buccaneers’ offense clicks. Washington’s Jayden Daniels-led offense has more questions than answers. The Bucs’ defense could limit his ceiling. Nonetheless, McLaurin offers a relatively safe floor as a relief valve for Daniels.


Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions

Favorite: Lions -3.5

Over/Under: 51

DraftKings Slates: Main, Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Jared Goff ($6,300), Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,200), Puka Nacua ($7,400)

DFS Analysis: This game has shootout potential, making Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown DFS gold. Puka Nacua, if healthy, is a must-start, though his status should be monitored. Kyren Williams offers some value as an RB2, particularly if the Rams look to establish the run early.

(Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

Monday, Sept. 9

New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers

Favorite: 49ers -4

Over/Under: 44

DraftKings Slates: Main, Showdown

Projected Fantasy Leaders: Christian McCaffrey, ($8,600), Mike Williams (WR, $5,700)

DFS Analysis: Rodgers is back, and saltier than a pretzel factory. He presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario in his Jets “debut” (we won’t count last year’s four snaps). Wilson is the #1 WR but Rodgers likes his ends, which account for 18% of his career passes. Hence, TE Tyler Conklin should at least 3x his $3,000 salary. Meanwhile, McCaffrey’s the safest bet since gravity – he’s as versatile as a Swiss Army knife and scores more than a heartthrob in a rom-com.


Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest and win a DFS Hub Season Pass!