NFL DFS Predictions

The big game has finally arrived, and as DFS Hub does each week, we’re sporting our playbook of wallet-winning NFL DFS tactics. Make your Super Bowl fiesta pack more punch with the pro tips below…

How to Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

1. San Francisco 49ers (-2.0) at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.0) – O/U 47.5
   • While KC has been stingy to running backs this season, Christian McCaffrey has two TDs in back-to-back games. While pricey, expect CMC to make the most of his first Super Bowl appearance.
   • Brandon Aiyuk propelled the Niners in their comeback against the Lions and should remain a big part of San Fran’s offense with a Tgt%L4 of 21%.
   • Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in every game he’s played since Week 12.
   • Pacheco has seen a median of 5.5 Red Zone opportunities across the last four games, so his TD streak has a good chance to continue.
   • Rashee Rice will also have his chances as the 49ers are ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in FPsFantasy points More allowed to wide receivers.

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Rebound Plays:  3 stars coming off one or more dud performances, with strong matchups

1. George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers, $9,600 CPT / $6,400 FLEX
   • Kittle was quiet against Detroit last week but the veteran tight end started the postseason strong with 81 yards and a TD against Green Bay.
   • Since Week 14, Kittle has followed up every poor performance with no less than 16 FPsFantasy points More in his following outing.
   • The San Francisco TE has no concerns about his toe injury heading into the Big Game.
2. Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs, $11,400 CPT / $7,600 FLEX
   • Rice has been held under 50 yards in back-to-back games but had two games over 125 yards before this slump.
   • While the KC offense is fairly deep, Rice still has a Tgt%L4 of 22%.
   • Despite recent struggles, the rookie is still averaging 18 FPsFantasy points More per game since Week 17.
3. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers, $15,000 CPT / $10,000 FLEX
   • KC has a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 18.8 fantasy points against QBs, a total Purdy hasn’t surpassed since Week 15.
   • Following a Week 16 meltdown that saw Purdy throw four interceptions, the QB has thrown just one pick.
   • Purdy has failed to eclipse 230 yards just once since Week 6.

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

1. Jerick McKinnon, RB, KC, $200
   • The lowest TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More on the slateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More at $1.35; a better TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds than even Edwards-Helaire, Watson, MVS, Jennings and Conley; he’s a game-time decision, but if he plays, he’s a must-start at this price
2. Kyle Juszczyk, RB, SF, $800
   • Low $8.08 TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More; had three targets against the Lions; might be a sneaky red zone option for the 49ers
3. Isiah Pacheco, RB, KC, $8,000
   • -122 TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More line; four targets in his last game; at least one TD every week since week 12

Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest for prizes!