Wild Card Round NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2023

The regular season may be over, but the biggest NFL DFS competition is just getting started with Wild Card round. These playoff slates are jam-packed with matchups that will have you couch-bound all weekend.

Scoring Alert: 3 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

  1. Los Angeles Rams (+3.0) at Detroit Lions (-3.0)– O/U 51.5
    • The Cardinals have given up over 100 points throughout the last three weeks.
    • Arizona has a DvPL4 of 40.8 FPs against running backs, which bodes well for Kenneth Walker III.
    • Geno Smith hasn’t scored less than 17 fantasy points in the last three weeks and faces the 25th-ranked D in fantasy points allowed to QBs.
  2. Dallas Cowboys (-7.5) at Green Bay Packers (+7.5) – O/U 50.5
    • Jordan Love has been on fire during Green Bay’s three-game win streak, throwing for 9 TDs and no interceptions.
    • Dallas tight end Jake Ferguson will have a chance to do some damage against a GB defense ranked 26th in fantasy points allowed to TEs.
    • The Cowboys are giving up 133 rushing yards per game in the last four weeks.
  3. Cleveland Browns (-2.5) at Houston Texans (2.5) – O/U 44.5
    • Texans QB C.J. Stroud was the AFC Offensive Player of the Week six times this season
    • Texans WR Nico Collins posted a career-high 195 yards receiving against the Colts in week 18.
    • The Browns have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs
    • Joe Flacco is red hot, having thrown for 300+ yards in his last four games

(Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

Rebound Plays:  3 stars coming off one or more dud performances, with strong matchups

  1. Jared Goff, QB, Detroit Lions, $6,200
    • Goff has been held to under 15 fantasy points in two of his last three games but his old team is ranked 29th in FPs allowed to quarterbacks.
    • The Lions have averaged over 30 points per game during their last four.
    • LA’s QB has avoided throwing an interception in five of his last seven games.
  2. Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams, $7,500
    • The star wideout had just 27 receiving yards in Week 18, but Detroit has a monstrous DvPL4 of 59.0 FPs allowed to wide receivers.
    • The veteran receiver has brought down a TD in four of his last five games.
    • Kupp has a median of 3.0 red zone opportunities per game across the last four weeks.
  3. Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills, $7,400
    • After four straight games under 50 yards, Diggs finally broke out a bit in Week 18 with 87 receiving yards.
    • Diggs has a target share of 28% during the last four weeks.
    • With teammate Gabe Davis potentially nursing an injury, Diggs may have even more opportunities than usual.

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

  1. Tony Pollard, RB, DAL, $6,100
    • Lowest TDCost and a solid matchup (DAL -7) at home against Green Bay, which allowed the fifth-most rushing yards this season; -159 TD prop line
  2. Isiah Pacheco, RB, KC, $6,400
    • One+ TDs in each of his last four games; 32.5 FPs in his last outing; -139 TD prop line, at home (-5); MIA is normally a tough RB matchup but perhaps not in 4-degree weather
  3. Khalil Shakir, WR, BUF, $3,400
    • Lowest TDCost of any WR; #2 receiver with Gabe Davis out; faces shaky PIT coverage

Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest for prizes!

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