Divisional Round NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2023

The NFL divisional round is in full swing, with the top-seeded teams making their postseason debut. The weekend’s highlights include the Detroit Lions hosting a playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and the much-anticipated rematch between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. With only eight teams remaining in the fight for the NFL’s biggest prize, the stakes are high and the excitement is palpable. Let’s sift through the DFS gold mine of the Divisional Round, while trying not to step on any fantasy landmines.


2 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

  1. Green Bay Packers (+9.5) at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)– O/U 50.5
    • Following a three-touchdown performance in the Wild Card Round, Jordan Love has 12 TDs during Green Bay’s four-game winning streak.
    • MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey gets a juicy matchup against a bottom-ten D in fantasy points allowed.
    • Aaron Jones has rushed for at least 110 yards in each of his last four games.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Detroit Lions (-6.0) – O/U 48.5
    • Detroit QB Jared Goff has thrown an INT in only two of his last eight games.
    • The Buccs are ranked 29th in the NFL in FPs allowed to tight ends which bodes well for Detroit rookie Sam LaPorta.
    • Tampa’s wide receivers will look to feast on a Detroit D allowing a median 61.1 fantasy points to WRs in the last four games.


(Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire)

Rebound Plays:  3 stars coming off one or more dud performances, with strong matchups

  1. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $7,200
    • The veteran wideout has scored 10 FPs or less in the last three weeks but faces a Detroit D ranked 30th in fantasy points allowed to WRs.
    • Despite just 70 yards combined in his last two games, Evans has still seen 15 targets.
    • With a DvPL4 of 61.1 FPs, there’ll be plenty of opportunities to go around for Evans and the other Tampa Bay receivers.
  2. Devin Singletary, RB, Houston Texans, $5,700
    • Singletary hasn’t eclipsed 100 yards in a game since Week 15 but has scored a TD in back-to-back games.
    • The Ravens have been kind to opposing backs recently, with a DvPL4 33.0 FPs.
    • Houston’s starting running back has a median snap share of 67% over the last four games.
  3. George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers, $5,200
    • Kittle has been boom or bust in his last four games, but should lean more towards the boom against a Green Bay D ranked 26th in FPs allowed to TEs.
    • Despite a 29-yard dud in Week 18, Kittle is still averaging over 71 yards per game during the last four weeks.
    • The Packers DvPL4 of 15.8 FPs against tight ends is the best matchup Kittle has faced all season.

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

  1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, SF, $8,800
    • He may not have bargain pricing but CMC has the 2nd best TDCost
    • His TD prop line is -375, SF is a 10 point favorite, and GB is ranked 22nd against RBs
  2. George Kittle, TE, SF, $5,200
    • Third best TDCost, facing the 26th ranked TE defense, he led all tight ends this season with 1,020 receiving yards

Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest for prizes!

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