The NFL divisional round is in full swing, with the top-seeded teams making their postseason debut. The weekend’s highlights include the Detroit Lions hosting a playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and the much-anticipated rematch between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. With only eight teams remaining in the fight for the NFL’s biggest prize, the stakes are high and the excitement is palpable. Let’s sift through the DFS gold mine of the Divisional Round, while trying not to step on any fantasy landmines.
2 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals
- Green Bay Packers (+9.5) at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)– O/U 50.5
- Following a three-touchdown performance in the Wild Card Round, Jordan Love has 12 TDs during Green Bay’s four-game winning streak.
- MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey gets a juicy matchup against a bottom-ten D in fantasy points allowed.
- Aaron Jones has rushed for at least 110 yards in each of his last four games.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Detroit Lions (-6.0) – O/U 48.5
- Detroit QB Jared Goff has thrown an INT in only two of his last eight games.
- The Buccs are ranked 29th in the NFL in FPsFantasy points More allowed to tight ends which bodes well for Detroit rookie Sam LaPorta.
- Tampa’s wide receivers will look to feast on a Detroit D allowing a median 61.1 fantasy points to WRs in the last four games.
Rebound Plays: 3 stars coming off one or more dud performances, with strong matchups
- Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $7,200
- The veteran wideout has scored 10 FPsFantasy points More or less in the last three weeks but faces a Detroit D ranked 30th in fantasy points allowed to WRs.
- Despite just 70 yards combined in his last two games, Evans has still seen 15 targets.
- With a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 61.1 FPsFantasy points More, there’ll be plenty of opportunities to go around for Evans and the other Tampa Bay receivers.
- Devin Singletary, RB, Houston Texans, $5,700
- Singletary hasn’t eclipsed 100 yards in a game since Week 15 but has scored a TD in back-to-back games.
- The Ravens have been kind to opposing backs recently, with a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More 33.0 FPsFantasy points More.
- Houston’s starting running back has a median snap share of 67% over the last four games.
- George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers, $5,200
- Kittle has been boom or bust in his last four games, but should lean more towards the boom against a Green Bay D ranked 26th in FPsFantasy points More allowed to TEs.
- Despite a 29-yard dud in Week 18, Kittle is still averaging over 71 yards per game during the last four weeks.
- The Packers DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 15.8 FPsFantasy points More against tight ends is the best matchup Kittle has faced all season.
Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios
- Christian McCaffrey, RB, SF, $8,800
- He may not have bargain pricing but CMC has the 2nd best TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More
- His TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More line is -375, SF is a 10 point favorite, and GB is ranked 22nd against RBs
- George Kittle, TE, SF, $5,200
- Third best TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More, facing the 26th ranked TE defense, he led all tight ends this season with 1,020 receiving yards
Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest for prizes!
