Super Bowl NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – February 11, 2024

The big game has finally arrived, and as DFS Hub does each week, we’re sporting our playbook of wallet-winning NFL DFS tactics. Make your Super Bowl fiesta pack more punch with the pro tips below…

How to Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

  1. San Francisco 49ers (-2.0) at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.0) – O/U 47.5
    • While KC has been stingy to running backs this season, Christian McCaffrey has two TDs in back-to-back games. While pricey, expect CMC to make the most of his first Super Bowl appearance.
    • Brandon Aiyuk propelled the Niners in their comeback against the Lions and should remain a big part of San Fran’s offense with a Tgt%L4 of 21%.
    • Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in every game he’s played since Week 12.
    • Pacheco has seen a median of 5.5 Red Zone opportunities across the last four games, so his TD streak has a good chance to continue.
    • Rashee Rice will also have his chances as the 49ers are ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in FPs allowed to wide receivers.


(Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)

Rebound Plays:  3 stars coming off one or more dud performances, with strong matchups

  1. George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers, $9,600 CPT / $6,400 FLEX
    • Kittle was quiet against Detroit last week but the veteran tight end started the postseason strong with 81 yards and a TD against Green Bay.
    • Since Week 14, Kittle has followed up every poor performance with no less than 16 FPs in his following outing.
    • The San Francisco TE has no concerns about his toe injury heading into the Big Game.
  2. Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs, $11,400 CPT / $7,600 FLEX
    • Rice has been held under 50 yards in back-to-back games but had two games over 125 yards before this slump.
    • While the KC offense is fairly deep, Rice still has a Tgt%L4 of 22%.
    • Despite recent struggles, the rookie is still averaging 18 FPs per game since Week 17.
  3. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers, $15,000 CPT / $10,000 FLEX
    • KC has a DvPL4 of 18.8 fantasy points against QBs, a total Purdy hasn’t surpassed since Week 15.
    • Following a Week 16 meltdown that saw Purdy throw four interceptions, the QB has thrown just one pick.
    • Purdy has failed to eclipse 230 yards just once since Week 6.

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

  1. Jerick McKinnon, RB, KC, $200
    • The lowest TDCost on the slate at $1.35; a better TD prop odds than even Edwards-Helaire, Watson, MVS, Jennings and Conley; he’s a game-time decision, but if he plays, he’s a must-start at this price
  2. Kyle Juszczyk, RB, SF, $800
    • Low $8.08 TDCost; had three targets against the Lions; might be a sneaky red zone option for the 49ers
  3. Isiah Pacheco, RB, KC, $8,000
    • -122 TD prop line; four targets in his last game; at least one TD every week since week 12

Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest for prizes!

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