This point of the NFL season is less about football and more about real estate, with teams scrambling over each other for a tiny plot of land called the “Playoff Spot.” Our Week 15 NFL DFS cheat sheet is filled to the gills with players battling to play more football. And before we dissect that jam-packed list, let’s peek at three games set to be as intense as a Black Friday doorbuster sale.

Shootouts Alert: 3 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

1. Dallas Cowboys (+2.0) at Buffalo Bills (-2.0) – O/U 50.5
   • The Cowboys are averaging 38 points per game across their last four games.
   • Josh Allen has rushed for three TDs in his last three games while RB James Cook is averaging 17.6 fantasy points per game in his last four.
   • In the last five weeks, Dak Prescott has 16 touchdowns and just two turnovers.
2. Washington Commanders (+6.5) at Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) – O/U 49.0
   • The Rams are averaging 159 yards per game on the ground in their last three and have a floor of 31 points.
   • Washington’s D has a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 30.9 FPsFantasy points More against running backs which bodes well for Kyren Williams.
   • The Commanders, with just about the NFL’s worst coverage, have given up 45 points in back-to-back games.
3. San Francisco 49ers (-13.5) at Arizona Cardinals (+13.5) – O/U 47.5
   • Brock Purdy followed up his Week 12 dud with two straight games over 300 yards
   • Deebo Samuel is on fire, with at least 37 fantasy points in each of the last two weeks.
   • The Arizona D has been susceptible to the run, giving up 163 yards per game in their last four matchups.

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Rebound Plays:  3 stars coming off one or more dud performances, with strong matchups

1. Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills, $8,400
   • Diggs has had less than 7 FPsFantasy points More in three of the last four weeks but does have 22 targets in his last two games.
   • This matchup with the Cowboys has the week’s highest spreadA DFS Hub field that equals the consensus point spread for the game at hand. It's Vegas's prediction of how much the favorite will win by, and how much the underdog will lose by. A Spread of -7, for example, means the favorite is expected to win by 7 points. For more, see:
     ... More at 50.5 so Diggs should have plenty of opportunities to rack up points.
   • The Dallas D has been incredibly stingy to running backs this year, ranked 4th in the NFL in points allowed to the position, so the Bills may look to the air more in this one.
2. Jordan Love, QB, Green Bay Packers, $6,200
   • Even with a rough Monday Night showing in Week 14, Love is still averaging 23.8 fantasy points per game in his last four.
   • Love gets a matchup with a Tampa Bay D ranked 28th in FPsFantasy points More allowed to QBs.
   • The Buccs have a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 22.5 fantasy points against quarterbacks.
3. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $7,500
   • Evans had just one catch on 6 targets in Week 14 but has a target share of 28% in the last four games.
   • Evans had five touchdowns in his four games prior to Week 14.
   • While the Packers allow the 7th fewest FPsFantasy points More to WRs, Evans has proven to be matchup-proof as he recently dropped 32.2 FPsFantasy points More against a Carolina D that was ranked 4th best in that category.

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

1. Kyren Williams, RB, LA Rams, $7,500
   • 2nd best TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More on the slateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More; -293 TD line; -6.5 favorite against a team allowing the most DraftKings points to RBs
2. Jayden Reed, WR, GB, $4,900
   • Low ($11.42) TD CostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and TD prop line. TD Cost = Salary / Probability of a touchdown This shows what you'd have to pay for the player if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his curr... More; 133 TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More; facing weak coverage; favored by -3.5; 4.0 median value in last 4 games; playoff implications
3. Christian McCaffrey, RB, SF, $9,300
   • Clearly McCaffrey isn’t cheap but price and value are two different things for cash gamesA cash game refers to a DFS contest in which roughly half the field wins a prize. The last place winner wins the same prize as the first place winner. While the prize payouts aren't as sexy as tournament contests (GPPs), the probability of placing in the money is usually higher. ... More. With a -393 TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More, his TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More is under $12 and he faces the third-worst rushing defense in the last 4 games. SF is a -12 point fave.

Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest for cash!