The Marquee Matchups for January 29, 2023:
- 49ers (15-4) at Eagles (15-3) — Jalen Hurts and the Eagles blasted through the Giants, earning themselves the opportunity to host the red hot 49ers. San Francisco is coming in with a 12 game winning streak.
- Bengals (14-4) at Chiefs (15-3) — The two most recent AFC Champions will fight to represent their conference once more. Joe Burrow’s Bengals head to KC to face Pat Mahomes and company, for what should be a frenetic scoring fest.
(Records shown include playoff games)
Vegas odds for the Conference Championship Round matchups:
Here are the two Conference Championship contests and their Vegas lines.
Team | O/U | Line | ||
Conference Championship SlateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More | CIN | -1.5 | O 46.5 | -130 |
@ KC | +1.5 | U 46.5 | +110 | |
SF | +2.5 | O 46 | +125 | |
@ PHI | -2.5 | U 46 | -145 |
Under The Radar DFS Players
Below are potential bargain bin options from the Conference Championship Round. (See methodology below)
NFC Championship Game Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Dallas Goedert | TE, PHI | $4,100 | |
Elijah Mitchell | RB, SF | $4,900 | |
George Kittle | TE, SF | $5,200 |
AFC Championship Game Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Kenneth Gainwell I RB, PHI | $5,000 | |
Dallas Goedert I TE, PHI | $6,400 | |
Boston Scott I | $3,000 |
How this works
Every week, we analyze three “under the radar” NFL DFS values from the early and afternoon slates on DraftKings. The goal being, to find players with more than a 40% chance of scoring four times their salary. That means a DraftKings fantasy point performance greater than [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More x 4.
Among other things, we factor in:
- Only DraftKings players with salaries of $6,900 or less
- Team matchups
- Whether projected opportunities are sufficient to return 4x DFS value
- The Conference Championship Round NFL injury report for fantasy players.
Uncovering players who blow up for 4x value isn’t easy, but it’s vital for anyone hoping to win tournaments consistently.