Author: DFS Hub

It’s NFL season’s curtain call, and team and player motivations matter. Knowing who’s in it to win it is crucial. Keep an eye on these playoff-relevant Week 18 matchups.

• Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers:
  The Packers are still playing for playoff seeding and will likely deploy their starters against a Bears defense that’s been as effective as a two-legged chair.
• Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos:
  With the Chiefs resting their starters, backup quarterback Carson Wentz gets a chance to remind us why he’s the NFL’s version of a box of chocolates—you never know what you’re gonna get.
• Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers:
  Rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is set to start for the Falcons, replacing the turnover-prone Kirk Cousins. Penix’s fresh approach could invigorate Atlanta’s offense against a Panthers defense that’s been leakier than a cheap umbrella.

For more players to target, explore DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate gems below. They include our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Baker Mayfield – Thanks in part to a Week 17 effort that saw Mayfield put up 37.6 fantasy points, the veteran QB is averaging 27.7 FPs per game across the last four weeks. Mayfield is also averaging over 300 yards per game across that span, to go along with 14 touchdowns. The Tampa Bay quarterback tossed four touchdowns and 325 yards in his last matchup with the Saints and is poised to put up big numbers again in a must-win contest.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3.5, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson – Robinson has rushed for at least 90 yards in each of his last five games while finding his way into the endzone six times. Robinson finishes the season off against a Carolina D ranked dead last in the NFL in FPs allowed to running backs. The Atlanta RB has reached double-digit fantasy points in every game this season. He’ll look to feast on a weak Carolina defense in another must-win game.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 110 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Mike Evans – Yes, this feels like deja vu from our Mayfield/Evans stack last week, but the analytics justify it. Evans needs at least five catches and 85 yards to not only trigger a $3 million contract incentive but to also tie Jerry Rice’s record of 11 straight seasons with 1,000 receiving yards. It shouldn’t be hard for Evans to eclipse those totals, as goes against a New Orleans defense ranked 25th in the league in fantasy points allowed to WRs. Evans has also averaged over 100 yards per game across the last three weeks, to go along with 28 targets.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Noah Fant – Fant has seen a Tgt%L3 of 21% while averaging six targets per game along that same timeframe. The Seattle vet faces off against an LA defense that’s ranked 26th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. With the Rams sporting a DvPL4 of 12.1 FPs, Fant could exceed 3x value in Week 18.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Broncos – While a matchup with the 15-1 Kansas City Chiefs may seem intimidating for the Denver defense, it shouldn’t be too bad as KC will be resting starters and using Carson Wentz at QB. The Broncos are coming off of a seven-sack performance against the Bengals, and a rusty Wentz may be susceptible to that pass rush.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 17 in the NFL is upon us, and playoff battles are everywhere. Here are three matchups that should help your fantasy points flow like beer at a tailgate party.

• Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings:
  This NFC North showdown features two red-hot offenses. Vikings QB Sam Darnold and Packers QB Jordan Love are both setting career highs this season. Expect fireworks as both teams vie for playoff seeding.
• Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles:
  With the Eagles’ starting QB Jalen Hurts sidelined due to injury, rookie Kenny Pickett steps in. The Cowboys’ defense has been formidable, and despite a low over/under, there’s room for standout fantasy performance. The must-watch player in this game is NFL rushing leader Saquon Barkley, who should close in on 2,000 yards.
• Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints:
  Keep an eye on Raiders’ rookie TE Brock Bowers, who is on the verge of breaking Mike Ditka’s rookie receiving yards record for tight ends. His matchup against the Saints’ secondary could make him a sneaky, high-upside play this week.

For more players to target, explore DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate gems below. They include our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Baker Mayfield – Mayfield has been on fire the last three weeks, with 9 touchdowns and at least 22 fantasy points in each game. For Week 17 the Tampa Bay quarterback faces off with a Carolina D ranked 30th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to QBs. The Panthers have a DvPL4 of 21.2 fantasy points against quarterbacks, meaning Mayfield should be able to reach that solid floor of 22 FPs. On top of all that, Tampla needs this win to keep its playoff hopes alive.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3.5, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: James Cook – The Buffalo Bills halfback has rushed for at least 100 yards in three of his last four games. Cook has found the back of the endzone in all but four games this season, making him a great candidate to pick up a TD or two. In the last four weeks alone, Cook has scored seven touchdowns. The Jets are giving up 123 yards per game on the ground under interim coach Jeff Ulbrich which should give any DFS player a ton of confidence in James Cook.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 110 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Mike Evans – The Buccs pass catcher is averaging over 100 yards per game across the last four weeks with a floor of 69 yards. In the last two weeks alone Evans has seen 19 targets while hauling in two touchdowns. This week Evans faces off against the Panthers, who Evans dropped 118 yards against in their first meeting earlier this season. Coupled with Mayfield, this is the Hub’s power stack for week 17.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Tucker Kraft – Green Bay’s tight end has seen a Tgt%L4 of 19% to go along with a Snaps%L4 of 89%. Kraft has shown the ability to make the big play when the ball is thrown his way, with seven TDs on the season. Kraft has a DraftKings salary of just $3,900, and with the Vikings sporting a DvPL4 of 12.3 FPs to tight ends, a touchdown could be enough to provide DFS players with some solid value.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Colts – The Giants are averaging less than 12 points per game across the last five weeks and have turned the ball over plenty. The Colts have picked the ball off seven times in the last three weeks, with back-to-back games of three interceptions. Indy hasn’t just forced turnovers through the air, however, as they also have two fumble recoveries in their last three games. This is a must-win for the Colts’ slim playoff hopes.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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It’s the NFL’s Week 16 and we’re diving into three matchups poised to light up the scoreboard and your DFS lineups:

• Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets:
  Rams’ running back Kyren Williams could feast on a Jets defense missing key pieces up front. With over 1,100 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns this season, Williams should have little trouble adding to his totals against a middling run defense.
• Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles:
  Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been turning heads, and with the Commanders’ depleted skill positions, he’ll shoulder even more of the offensive load. Facing a tough Eagles defense, Daniels’ dual-threat ability still gives him upside, particularly as an under-the-radar play for those looking to zig while others zag.
• Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears:
  Lions’ running back Jahmyr Gibbs is primed for a standout performance against the Bears’ defense, which has been generous to opposing running backs. Gibbs’ explosive playmaking is now well-documented, and the Lions need this game to maintain their #1 seed.

For more players to target, explore DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate gems below. They include our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Jared Goff – The veteran QB threw for nearly 500 yards in Week 14 while putting up 44.1 fantasy points. While the Bears do sport a stingy defense ranked 1st in the NFL in FPs allowed to QBs, they have been more beatable as of late with a DvPL4 of 20.5 fantasy points against Goff’s position. With one of Detroit’s lead running backs missing time, the Lions may want to throw the ball even more in this matchup.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3.5, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Jahmyr Gibbs – Gibbs is the lead back in Detroit now and will have plenty of chances to do some damage against a Chicago defense ranked 29th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to running backs. The sophomore running has been a model of consistency this year, with double-digit FPs in every single game. With 13 targets in his last two games, Gibbs should be heavily involved in the passing game as well.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 110 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Justin Jefferson – Jefferson has dropped over 55 fantasy points combined in the last two weeks and will have a solid matchup with a Seattle defense ranked in the bottom half of fantasy points allowed to pass catchers. Those 55 fantasy points included over 200 yards and 20 targets, with no reason to believe those opportunities will slow down in this potential shootout.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Brock Bowers – Bowers gets an upgrade in quarterback this week with Aiden O’Connell returning to the lineup. After a disappointing couple of weeks, Bowers should rebound against a Jacksonville D ranked 26th in the league in fantasy points allowed to tight ends.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Colts – The Colts have forced three turnovers in back-to-back games and could grab some more against one of the NFL’s worst offenses. The opposing Titans have been held under 21 points in eight of their last ten games.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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NFL Week 15 is upon us. Here are three matchups ready to serve up fantasy gold, including an under-the-radar gem that might just make your DFS day.

• Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions:
  With an over-under of 54.5 points, this game promises a fantasy feast. Lions’ running back Jahmyr Gibbs and wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown are primed for big performances against a Bills defense that’s been as sturdy as a wet paper bag.
• Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers:
  The Cowboys’ offense has found new life with running back Rico Dowdle, who has posted back-to-back 100-yard games. Facing the Panthers’ porous run defense, Dowdle could be the gift that keeps on giving for fantasy managers.
• Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles:
  Eagles’ running back Saquon Barkley is on a mission to break records and the hearts of opposing defenses. With the Steelers missing key defensive players, Barkley might just run wild and carry your fantasy team to glory.

For more player targets, explore DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate jewels below. They include our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Kyler Murray – The Patriots have a DvPL4 of 25.5 fantasy points against quarterbacks while Murray has had back-to-back games with at least 17 FPs. Murray has also rushed for double-digit yards in three of his last four games, giving DFS players an extra boost on the ground. Against a D ranked 21st in the NFL in FPs allowed to QBs, Murray is poised to put up points.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3.5, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Jahmyr Gibbs – Gibbs has not had a single game this season with less than 11 fantasy points. The Detroit sophomore should have no problem reaching that floor against a Buffalo D ranked in the bottom five of the NFL in fantasy points to RBs. Gibbs has also seen increased work in the passing game, with 10 targets in his last two games.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 110 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Amon-Ra St. Brown – While the Detroit Lions offense has many mouths to feed, St. Brown has still managed a Tgt%L4 of 20%. There’s no doubt that St. Brown will play a big part in a big game with an O/U of 54.5 points. The Bills have a DvPL4 of 39.7 fantasy points against WRs and St. Brown will look to fill up the stat sheet for DFS players.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Trey McBride – Despite being held without a touchdown over the last four weeks, McBride has put up double-digit fantasy points in each of those four outings. McBride had been nursing a knee injury but is good to go for Week 15. The Patriots are ranked in the bottom half of the league in fantasy points allowed to tight ends and, even with his $6,000 price tag, McBride should be able to keep the good times rolling.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Arizona Cardinals – The New England Patriots have gone five straight games without scoring at least 25 points. Their QB, Drake Maye, has turned the ball over nine times in his last five games. While Arizona is far from the best defense in the NFL, they’re favored at home and have held the opposition to less than 80 rushing yards in three of the last four games.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Draft a lineup in this week’s free NFL DFS contest and win a DFS Hub Season Pass!

It’s week 14 already—the last week of the 2024 NFL regular season for most season-long leagues and time to separate the fantasy contenders from the pretenders. With six teams on bye, your lineup might look like a scene from a disaster movie. But fear not. Here are three matchups poised to light up the fantasy scoreboard:

• Las Vegas Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
  Baker Mayfield and the Bucs’ offense are set to exploit the Raiders’ defense, which has been as sturdy as a wet paper bag. Expect Mayfield and wide receiver Mike Evans to post another week of impressive numbers.
• Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers:
  Patrick Mahomes facing the Chargers’ defense is like a hot knife through butter. With the Chiefs’ offense clicking, Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce could be poised for big fantasy days.
• New Orleans Saints at New York Giants:
  Alvin Kamara is back to his dual-threat ways, and facing the Giants’ defense is like playing Madden on rookie mode. Expect Kamara to rack up points faster than you can say “Who Dat.”

Remember, in DFS, especially GPPs, fortune favors the bold. For more players to target, dive into DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate gems below. They come complete with our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

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Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Tua Tagovailoa: The New York Jets are on a three game losing streak and will be without some big names on their defense. Tagovailoa meanwhile has nine TDs and no interceptions in Miami’s last three games. The Miami QB has also averaged over 300 yards passing per game since Week 11, with a solid floor of 288. Against a NYJ D with a DvPL4 of 20.6 fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, Tua should have ample opportunity to put up numbers at home.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3.5, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Saquon Barkley: Even with a massive DraftKings salary of $9,000, it’s hard to pass up on starting Barkley in Week 14. The Philly RB faces off against a Carolina defense ranked dead last in the NFL in FPs allowed to running backs. Barkley meanwhile, has five touchdowns in his last three games to go along with a floor of 22.7 FPs. With an average of nearly 30 fantasy points per game since Week 11, it’s hard to keep Barkley out of any lineup.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 110 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Jordan Addison: Addison has averaged seven targets per game across the last four weeks, good for a Tgt% of 25%. Atlanta is ranked 27th in the NFL in FPs allowed to pass catchers while Addison has over 200 receiving yards combined since Week 12. Plus, Atlanta is weakest at covering the right side of the field, where Addison usually lives.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Pat Freiermuth: The Steelers tight end has picked up at least 59 receiving yards in back to back games while also grabbing his fourth TD of the year in Week 13. Freiermuth has seen a Tgt%L3 of 14% and has been more involved in the passing game as of late. He faces a Browns team that’s had trouble covering ends as of late.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Tennessee Titans: With Trevor Lawrence out, Mac Jones is in at quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Titans have a decent passing D and Jones has thrown three interceptions in his last three games. Tennessee has forced four turnovers in the last two games, meaning this could be a long day for Jones and the Jaguars.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season is upon us. Here are three games that promise to light up the fantasy scoreboard:

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers:
  Bucky Irving has been feasting on opponents the past two weeks, and facing the Panthers’ run defense is like sending a wolf to a petting zoo. Carolina allows 387 total yards per game (season-long and last three weeks), ranking third-worst in the league.
• Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars:
  Joe Mixon is thriving in Houston, and against the Jaguars’ defense, he might just dance his way into the end zone like it’s prom night. Keep an eye on Nico Collins, too. The Jags have allowed the highest drop-back success rate in the league in the past 4 weeks. Trevor Lawrence’s return could make this a somewhat more competitive game.
• Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens:
  This clash has “Game of the Year” potential, with both teams boasting explosively mobile QBs and offences that rarely take coffee breaks. The 51 over/under doesn’t lie.

For more players to target, dive into DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate gems below. They come complete with our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Jalen Hurts: Hurts matches up with a Baltimore D ranked 27th in the league in fantasy points allowed to QBs. Prior to Week 11, the Philly quarterback had five straight games with at least 21 FPs. In no game this season has Hurts had less than 15 FPs, giving the Eagles QB a safe floor.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3.5, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Kyren Williams: The Rams running back has seen his salary decrease from $8,200 in Week 8 to just $7,200 this week. With a matchup against a New Orleans D ranked 29th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to RBs, this could be the week to get Williams at a good value. While Williams hasn’t been as productive as he was at the start of the season, he still only has one game on the year with less than double digit fantasy points.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 110 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Mike Evans: Evans was able to snag five of his six targets in his first game since Week 7. The Panthers have a DvPL4 of 29.9 fantasy points allowed to wide receivers, and with Chris Godwin out of the lineup, Evans should see plenty of looks. Evans has also found the end zone four times in his last five games, giving him plenty of opportunity to rack up fantasy points.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Cade Otton: With Carolina ranked dead last in the league in fantasy points allowed to tight ends, Otton will be eager to take the field for this game. In Otton’s last matchup versus an opposing D ranked in the bottom three of the NFL, Otton picked up 21.7 fantasy points. With back-to-back poor outings lowering Otton’s salary, Week 13 is a prime opportunity for DFS players to gain some big value out of the Buccs tight end.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Colts: The Indianapolis pass rush is materially better than average the last four weeks, while the Patriots’ pass blocking has big gaps. Their opposing QB, Drake Maye, has thrown five interceptions in his last four games, which should give the Colts plenty of chances to generate turnovers and generate fantasy points.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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Rolling into Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season, here are three main slate games that promise a fantasy point explosion:

• Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders:
  Before tailing off in recent weeks, rookie QB Jayden Daniels was lighting it up like a firework show, mixing passing yards with rushing TDs. Against a Cowboys defense that’s more welcoming to rushing QBs than a hotel concierge, Daniels could be set for a standout performance.
• Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers:
  Despite a season marked by interceptions, Patrick Mahomes remains a top fantasy option. Facing the Panthers’ defense, which ranks last in points allowed, Mahomes is primed for a scoring spree.
• Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts:
  Wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown is on a scoring bender, with eight consecutive games featuring a touchdown. Facing the Colts’ 26th-ranked pass defense, St. Brown and the Lions are poised for win #10.

For more players to target, dive into DFS Hub’s DraftKings main slate gems below. They come complete with our methodology, which you can replicate in our NFL lineup builder.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Tua Tagovailoa – The oft-injured Miami QB is coming off his first game with over 18 fantasy points since his Week 8 return. While Tagovailoa’s numbers haven’t been great the last four weeks, the Dolphins have scored at least 27 points in three of those games. With a salary of just $5,800, his lowest of the season, Tagovailoa could be a sneaky value play against the Patriots.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: De’Von Achane – Achane has picked up four touchdowns over the last four games, only being held scoreless in one of those outings. The young running back has also been more involved in the passing game since Tua’s return, with a Tgt%L4 of 20% Achane has turned that uptick in targets into nearly 40 receiving yards per game over that stretch.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 12 & [Prop1TD] < 105 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Marvin Harrison Jr. – The Seattle Seahawks are ranked in the bottom half of the league in FPs allowed to wide receivers. While Harrison has been fairly boom or this season, he does have TDs in two of his last three games while seeing at least five targets in the last four weeks. And this matchup should be a shootout.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Sam LaPorta – LaPorta is heating up, having had his best two fantasy performances of the season during his last three games. This week, the sophomore tight end matches up with an Indiana defense ranked 25th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. LaPorta has also seen an increase in target share recently, with a Tgt%L3 of 20%.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Being a home favorite and establishing a pattern of red zone looks never hurts, either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Vikings – Minnesota has scored double-digit fantasy points in each of the last three weeks. The Vikings have also held opposing running backs to under 70 yards in each of those three games. Against a Chicago Bears offense that has been held under 20 points for four straight games, the Vikings should have ample opportunity to provide DFS players with value.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective, better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .5, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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The 2024 NFL season has reached Week 11, and it’s shaping up to deliver thrilling storylines. Highlighting the main slate, we’ve got:

• Ravens vs. Steelers: Two teams walk into a bar… and they light up the scoreboard. Despite their history of snoozefests, this game’s got the week’s highest Over/Under. In fact, the line on receiving yards for Steelers’ WR Pickens has inflated by 5, reflecting a Ravens’ defense that leaks yards like a sieve.
• Christian McCaffrey’s Matchup: Facing a top-5 worst schedule-adjusted rushing defense (Seattle) over the last five weeks, McCaffrey’s consistent workload and versatility could make him the most owned player on the slate.
• Can Chubb Get Back on Track? Saints fans aside, everyone’s rooting for Chubber to bounce back from his grievous injury. Conveniently, he faces the worst rushing defense (New Orleans) over the last five weeks in opponent-adjusted run D.

Check out DFS Hub’s methodology below to uncover more DraftKings main slate treasures.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Brock Purdy: After a slow start to his 2024 campaign, Brock Purdy has had four straight games with over 20 fantasy points. The San Francisco quarterback matches up against a Seattle defense that owns a DvPL4 of 19.7 fantasy points, giving Purdy a good shot at reaching 20 FPs once again. Purdy has also avoided turning the ball over, with no interceptions in three of his last four games.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Christian McCaffrey: McCaffrey showed very little rust in his season debut last week, putting up over 100 all purpose yards. CMC has a juicy matchup in the Seahawks, as they’re ranked 25th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to running backs. McCaffrey has seen a Tgt%L4 of 20% dating back to last season and the veteran RB should be plenty involved in the passing game once again in Week 11.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 13 & [Prop1TD] < 105 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: George Pickens: Pickens has been a huge part of the Pittsburgh offense lately, with a Tgt%L4 of 28%. The wide receiver has a juicy matchup with a Baltimore defense ranked dead last in the league in FPs allowed to opposing pass catchers. With his first two touchdowns of the season coming in two of his last three games, Pickens is poised to continue to build off that momentum.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Jonnu Smith: The veteran tight end has seen at least six targets in four of his last five games. The Raiders are ranked 28th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to tight ends while Smith has racked up at least 45 receiving yards in four of the last five weeks. While Smith only has one touchdown on the season, the Raiders have been generous to tight ends when it comes to giving up TDs. With a salary of just $3,800, Smith could be a sneaky value play in Week 11.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Browns: With the Saints losing WR Chris Olave, their already banged up offense is down one of their best players. Alvin Kamara, the best weapon the Saints have, matches up against a strong Cleveland Run D that ranked 9th in the NFL in FPs allowed to running backs.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .4, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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As Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season rolls on, strap in for riveting twists and turns.

For one thing, Christian McCaffrey is back. After ghosting us all with a 9-week injury, he’s making his grand entrance. But there’s a risk he may not get a full workload.

Cowboys Nation is in shambles with Dak’s torn hammy, throwing a wrench into the Cowboys’ offense. Pour one out for CeeDee Lamb’s fantasy value.

In Philly, they’ve ditched passing like it’s out of fashion, going run-heavy with Saquon Barkley as their leading man. The bird’s 34% pass-play-ratio boosts his fantasy value—he’s like the steak in a sea of tofu.

Dive into our methodology below for more DraftKings main slate gems.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Kirk Cousins: The veteran QB has enjoyed plenty of success with his new team, especially in the last couple of weeks. The Cuz has seven touchdowns in his most recent two games, to go along with a solid floor of 18.8 fantasy points. The Saints have a depleted defense and a DvPL4 of 29.4 FPs which means they’re vulnerable to a Cousins outburst.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson: New Orleans is ranked 26th in the league in fantasy points allowed to RBs. Robinson has had over 21 fantasy points in each of his last four games. An unstoppable force in Robinson meets a very movable object in the New Orleans Rush defense, meaning Robinson should put up juicy points for the fifth straight week.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 13 & [Prop1TD] < 105 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Quentin Johnston: After missing Week 7 and Week 8, Johnson returned to the lineup ready to put up points. The sophomore pass-catcher hauled in a TD and 118 yards through the air, good for a total of 25.0 fantasy points. With a Tgt%L3 of 19%, Johnson will look to be a healthy part of the LA offense in Week 10.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: George Kittle: The Buccs have been generous in points allowed to tight ends, with the Tampa Bay D ranked 28th in the NFL in FPs allowed to TEs. Aside from a Week 1 outing with just 8 fantasy points, Kittle has had a floor of 14.5 FPs this season, with over 20 FPs in four of his last five games.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 4 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Bears: Before Week 9, the Bears had gone four straight games without giving up 20 points to their opponent. They match up with a New England offense that hasn’t provided much of a threat against opposing Ds, especially in DFS. Chicago is the best team in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to QBs and their D will look to take advantage of the opposing rookie quarterback.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .4, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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It’s halfway through the season and NFL-DFS-land is sizzling with value for Week 9:

• Quarterback Shuffles: For those who don’t buy into the ‘get what you pay for’ adage, the Raiders and Panthers are serving up some fire sale QBs in Gardner Minshew ($4.5k) and Bryce Young ($4.4k).
• Tight End Star in High-Scoring Affair: Sam LaPorta ($4.8k) of the Lions is eyeing a stellar show against the Packers, who can’t seem to keep tight ends in check.
• Wide Receiver Matchup Goldmine: CeeDee Lamb is the most expensive WR on the slate, probably because he’s set to feast on the Falcons’ defense. Atlanta allows the third most opponent-adjusted Fantasy Points to the WR1 position.

Dive into our methodology below for more DraftKings main slate gems.

​​​​

Quick Tip

If you don’t know what the fields below mean,
hit up the NFL DFS Field Glossary.

Quarterback (QB)

On top this week: Josh Allen: The MVP favorite has had a floor of 20.8 fantasy points the last three weeks while picking up seven touchdowns and throwing just one interception. Miami has been strong against QBs this season, ranking first in the NFL in FPs allowed to the position, but the addition of Amari Cooper (wrist) should continue to be a boon for Allen.

Methodology: We seek QBs on teams expected to score more than average, with above-average pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage, according to PFF grades.

DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > -0.5 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < .5 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .3 & [Spread] < 3, and ranked by overall matchup, player performance (e.g., [ANY/A]) and value (e.g., [Cost/Op]).
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To see all QB’s matching this criteria

Go to the NFL DFS Lineup Builder

Running Back (RB)

On top this week: Bijan Robinson: The Atlanta running back has found the endzone in each of his last three games, putting up at least 23.6 fantasy points in every contest. This week Robinson will face a Dallas D ranked 31st in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to running backs. Robinson has also been more involved in the passing game as of late, with over 40 yards recieving in each of the last two weeks.

Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjFP] > 13 & [Prop1TD] < -100 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > -.5 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).

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Wide Receiver (WR)

On top this week: Drake London: The Cowboys have a DvPL4 of 38.4 fantasy points against wide receivers. London has gotten plenty of looks lately, with 37 targets in the last four weeks. With the emergence of Kyle Pitts further opening up the passing game and a spread of 52.0 points, London should have ample opportunity to prey on the Dallas defense.

Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD prop odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 4 & [Spread] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFPASSSd] > -.3 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < .5 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost]).
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Tight End (TE)

On top this week: Sam LaPorta: While LaPorta has had a bit of a rough go of things this season, he has picked it up lately with touchdowns in two of his last three games. LaPorta also matches up with a Green Bay D ranked 23rd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. LaPorta grabbed all six of his targets in Week 8 and will look to build upon that strong performance against a vulnerable Packers defense.

Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary — unless the matchup is lip-smacking. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD prop odds and projected opportunities. Home favorites and some red zone looks don’t hurt either. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.

DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Spread] < 3 & [PrjOps] > 4 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & ranked by overall match-up and player performance (e.g., lowest [TDCost] and > 0 [RedZnOpsL4]).
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)

On top this week: Titans: The Titans have managed to hold their opponents to less than 100 passing yards in two of their last four games. Against a New England offense ranked in the bottom third of the NFL in putting up fantasy points against opposing defenses, Tennessee could prove to be a good value defense.

Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.

DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 23 & [Sal($k)] <4 & [Spread < 2.5] & [PFFOppOFFSd] < .4, and ranked by overall match-up (e.g., [PFFOppPBLKSd]) and team pressures (e.g., [QBHits%L4]).

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