The Marquee Matchups for January 14-16, 2023:
- Chargers (10-7) at Jaguars (9-8) — With Trevor Lawrence and Justin Herbert leading the way, two of the league’s best young quarterbacks face off in what should be a high scoring battle in Jacksonville.
- Giants (9-7-1) at Vikings (13-4) — Top receiver Justin Jefferson and his Minnesota Vikings will play host to a well rested Giants team who are in their first postseason since 2016.
- Buccaneers (8-9) at Cowboys (12-5) — Brady will look to complete another deep playoff run as the Bucs head to Dallas to face a team that their quarterback has never lost to.
Biggest totals in Wild Card Round matchups:
There are no high scoring affairs predicted for Sunday’s games. Here are the four contests with the most scoring potential, based on the Vegas consensus.
SlateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... | Team | SpreadA DFS Hub field that equals the consensus point spread for the game at hand. It's Vegas's prediction of how much the favorite will win by, and how much the underdog will lose by. A Spread of -7, for example, means the favorite is expected to win by 7 points. For more, see: | O/U | Line |
Saturday Slate | LAC | -2 | O 47.5 | -135 |
@ JAX | +2 | U 47.5 | +115 | |
SEA | +9.5 | O 42.5 | +400 | |
@ SF | -9.5 | U 42.5 | -500 | |
Sunday Slate | NYG | +3 | O 48.5 | +145 |
@ MIN | -3 | U 48.5 | -170 | |
MIA | +13 | O 43.5 | +575 | |
@ BUF | -13 | U 43.5 | -800 |
Under The Radar DFS Players
Below are bargain bin options for the Wild Card Round. (See methodology below)
Saturday Slate Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Brock Purdy | QB, SF | $5,500 | Floor of 16.5 FPsFantasy points over last four games while averaging 17.5 FPs per game. At least two touchdowns per game in each of last four games. SEA D ranked 25th in league in points allowed per game. |
Travis Ettienne Jr. | RB, JAX | $6,000 | LAC D ranked 28th in the league against the run, allowing 145.8 rush yards per game. Had 11 red zone opportunities in last three games. Averaging 17 opportunities per game over last four games. |
George Kittle | TE, SF | $5,900 | Has scored seven touchdowns in last four games. SEA D ranks 32nd in NFL in FPs allowed to TEs. Has a median of seven opportunities per game over last four games. |
Sunday Slate Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Daniel Jones I QB, NYG | $5,600 | MIN D ranked 31st in NFL in pass yards allowed per game and 30th in points allowed per game. Jones is coming off of a four touchdown performance and has compiled over 50 FPs in last two games. |
T.J. Hockenson I TE, MIN | $5,100 | Had seen 28 targets and 20 receptions over two games prior to Week 18 where MIN pulled their starters. NYG D ranks 22nd in NFL in FPs allowed to TEs. |
Dawson Knox I TE, BUF | $4,000 | Scored at least one touchdown in each of last four games. Floor of 9.3 FPs over last four games. Has 20% of team's targets over last four games. |
How this works
Every week, we analyze three “under the radar” NFL DFS values from the early and afternoon slates on DraftKings. The goal being, to find players with more than a 40% chance of scoring four times their salary. That means a DraftKings fantasy point performance greater than [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. x 4.
Among other things, we factor in:
- Only DraftKings players with salaries of $6,900 or less
- Team matchups
- Whether projected opportunities are sufficient to return 4x DFS value
- The Wild Card Round NFL injury report for fantasy players.
Uncovering players who blow up for 4x value isn’t easy, but it’s vital for anyone hoping to win tournaments consistently.