The Marquee Matchups for January 8, 2023:
- Rams (5-11) at Seahawks (8-8) — Geno Smith will look to wrap up his career year with a win in Seattle. If he pulls it out and the Lions win, the Seahawks will own the last NFC Wildcard berth.
- Lions (8-8) at Packers (8-8) — If the Packers win they’re in no matter what happens in Seattle, while the Lions still have a chance at the postseason if the Seahawks falter.
- Jets (7-9) at Dolphins (8-8) — With multiple QB injuries for Miami, the Jets will try to play spoiler against their AFC East Division rival.
Biggest totals in week 18’s Sunday matchups:
There are no high scoring affairs predicted for Sunday’s games. Here are the four contests with the most scoring potential, based on the Vegas consensus.
Team | O/U | Line | ||
MIN | -7 | O 43 | -315 | |
@ CHI | +7 | U 43 | +260 | |
NE | +7 | O 42.5 | +260 | |
@ BUF | -7 | U 42.5 | -315 | |
Afternoon SlateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More | NYG | +14 | O 43 | +650 |
@ PHI | -14 | U 43 | -950 | |
LAR | +6.5 | O 41.5 | +245 | |
@ SEA | -6.5 | U 41.5 | -295 |
Under The Radar DFS Players
Below are bargain bin options for the NFL’s 18th week. (See methodology below)
Early Slate Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
T.J. Hockenson | TE, MIN | $5,700 | Has seen 28 targets and 20 receptions over last two games. CHI D ranks 25th in FPsFantasy points More allowed overall. This game features one of the highest O/U's of all games in the early slateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More. |
Najee Harris | RB, PIT | $6,100 | |
Jakobi Meyers | WR, NE | $5,100 |
Afternoon Slate Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Tyler Higbee I TE, LAR | $4,400 | |
George Kittle I TE, SF | $6,000 | |
Ezekiel Elliott | RB, DAL | $6,300 |
How this works
Every week, we analyze three “under the radar” NFL DFS values from the early and afternoon slates on DraftKings. The goal being, to find players with more than a 40% chance of scoring four times their salary. That means a DraftKings fantasy point performance greater than [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More x 4.
Among other things, we factor in:
- Only DraftKings players with salaries of $6,900 or less
- Team matchups
- Whether projected opportunities are sufficient to return 4x DFS value
- The week 18 NFL injury report for fantasy players.
Uncovering players who blow up for 4x value isn’t easy, but it’s vital for anyone hoping to win tournaments consistently.
