Below you’ll find DFS Hub’s week 3 cheat sheet. It gives you a taste of how the site’s filters work while revealing top plays based on DFS Hub’s weekly criteria.
The purpose is to show the community how filters are used in lineup creation. So, without further ado, here’s a peek at the DraftKings VIP list for the main slateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More — plus the scoop on why these players are cream of the crop.
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Quarterback (QB)
On top this week: Baker Mayfield: Through the first two games of the season, Mayfield has amassed 474 passing yards, five touchdowns, and a passer rating of 129.1, ranking second in the NFL. He’s completing 73.5% of his passes for 9.7 yards per attempt with 5 TDs. Mayfield, Evans (WR) and Godwin (WR) should expose Denver’s stingy pass defense in the Florida heat. Expect the Bucs to start 3-0 for the first time since 2005.
Methodology: We seek QBs on teams that’ll score more than average, with good pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage. And we sort by the highest Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt [ANY/A].
DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by highest [ANY/A]
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Running Back (RB)
On top this week: Alvin Kamara: The Eagles’ run defense has been porous through the first two games, allowing an NFL-high 6.4 yards per carry and 157.5 rushing yards per game. Kamara, fresh off a dominant Week 2 where he amassed 115 rushing yards, three rushing touchdowns, and 65 receiving yards with a touchdown catch, is well-positioned to exploit these defensive shortcomings.
Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RBs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.
DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 15 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
Wide Receiver (WR)
On top this week: Jaxon Smith-Njigba: The Seahawks’ offense is showing increased aggression in the passing game, as evidenced by quarterback Geno Smith’s 327 passing yards in Week 2. Building on his career-high 12 receptions for 117 yards in Week 2, Smith-Njigba should see continued high target volume and production against a mid-tier Miami pass D.
Honorable mention: Jameson Williams
Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WRs with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.
DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 5 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest opportunity cost [Cost/Op].
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Tight End (TE)
On top this week: Cade Otton: Cade Otton is a reliable weapon with “pure hands,” says his QB Baker Mayfield. His 1 yard receiving through two games isn’t very inspiring, but that’s what makes him a sneaky candidate for a rebound play. In fact, the Buccs’ OC even apologized for not getting him more involved. Expect more opportunities for Otton this week, and the Broncos may not be expecting it. That said, this is an example of when DFS Hub’s filters need human filtering. This one is a riskier GPPGPP stands for guaranteed prize pool. It is a daily fantasy sports contest where the prize money is guaranteed, regardless of how many players participate. The prize payouts are generally skewed heavily to a small number of winners who win a large share of the pot. GPPs are often... More play only.
Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary. We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.
DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More <4 & [PrjOps] > 3 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)
On top this week: Steelers: We go back to the well with the Steelers. Through the first two games of the season, they’ve allowed just 16 points, ranking second in the NFL for points allowed per game. Their run defense has been particularly stout, conceding only 76.5 rushing yards per game, the fourth-best in the league. The main appeal for DFS, however, is their T.J. Watt-led pass rush which is two standard deviations above the pack, based on PFF grading.
Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.
DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More <3.6 & [Spread] < 3 & ranked by highest [QBHits%L4].
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