The NFL’s week two is here and we almost have to pinch ourselves. This week, DFS Hub is doing something a little different with the cheat sheet. To show what the site’s filters are made of, we’re revealing the top plays based on DFS Hub’s weekly criteria.
The purpose is to show the community how filters are used in lineup creation. So, without further ado, here’s a peek at the DraftKing’s VIP list for the main slateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More — plus the scoop on why these players are cream of the crop.
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Quarterback (QB)
On top this week: Anthony Richardson, after a tough Week 1 loss, is ready to ignite the Colts with plays that should probably require a fire permit. This blockbuster double-threat has a cannon that’s a registered weapon (exhibit A: this 60-yard bomb to Pierce last week). This week, he gets the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau, a team that coughed up 34 points and over 270+ passing yards to the Eagles last week.
Methodology: We seek QBs on teams that’ll score more than average, with good pass blocking, facing opponents with a below-average pass rush and below-average coverage. And we sort by the highest Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt [ANY/A].
DFS Hub QB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [TeamPts] > 21 & [PFFPBLKSd] > 0 & [PFFOppPRSHSd] < 0 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by highest [ANY/A]
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Running Back (RB)
On top this week: Yes, Jahmyr Gibbs splits time with David Montgomery, but that’s okay—because he also moonlights as a receiver. Gibbs’s speed, hands and big play ability make him too hard to pass up. The Lions will try to effectively utilize Gibbs in space, and that could be a difference-maker in this game. Against a Buccaneers defense that generously gifted 101 receiving yards to running backs in Week 1, Gibbs is poised to run through them like a ghost.
Methodology: We seek RBs on favored teams or slight dogs, with better-than-average TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds and projected fantasy points, above-average run blocking, and facing teams with below-average run defenses. The preference is for RB’s with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.
DFS Hub RB Criteria: [Depth] = 1 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [PrjFP] > 15 & [Prop1TD] < -50 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFRblkSd] > 0 & [PFFOppRDEFSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
Wide Receiver (WR)
On top this week: After catching 14 passes for 110 yards last week, Cooper Kupp will look to exploit Arizona’s secondary. With Matthew Stafford back in form, it’s all about target share. Expect Kupp to be the Rams’ offensive go-to with Puka Nacua sidelined. Kupp has an 86.5 yard over/under prop and a healthy -117 TD moneyline.
Methodology: We seek WRs in the top 4 depth chart positions, on favored teams or slight dogs that’ll score more than average, with better-than-average TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds, above-average quarterbacks, and facing teams with below-average coverage. The preference is for WR’s with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.
DFS Hub WR Criteria: [Depth] < 5 & [Spread] < 2.5 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [TeamPts] > 22 & [PFFOppCOVSd] < 0 & ranked by lowest opportunity cost [Cost/Op].
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Tight End (TE)
On top this week: Luke Schoonmaker should replace Jake Ferguson (doubtful, knee) and represents a low-cost lottery ticket at the position. The second-year Michigan product played all 17 games last season and caught a whopping eight passes on 15 targets for 65 yards and two touchdowns. Backup John Stephens (hamstring) will also be out. Could this start be Schoonmaker’s breakout game? We’ll pay the $2,900 to see.
Methodology: The TE position is where we aim to save salary . We look for TEs in the top 2 depth chart positions, with better-than-average TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More odds and projected opportunities. The preference is for tight ends with low salaries relative to their odds of scoring.
DFS Hub TE Criteria: [Depth] < 3 & [Prop1TD] < 300 & [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More <4 & [PrjOps] > 2 & ranked by lowest [TDCost].
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Defense and Special Teams (DST)
On top this week: The Steelers’ defense looks like that garage sale bargain you can’t ignore. Facing off against the Broncos, Pittsburgh’s elite pass rush is set to feast on Denver’s makeshift O-line. With T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith revving up, expect a sack fest and some turnover treats.
Methodology: We want a cost-effective better-than-average defense (according to PFF grades), facing a below-average offense with below-average expected points. We then look for teams with the highest QB hit rate.
DFS Hub DST Criteria: [PFFDEFSd] >0 & [OppPts] < 22 & [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More <3.6 & [Spread] < 3 & ranked by highest [QBHits%L4].
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