As Week 12 of the NFL unfurls, it’s make-or-break for some teams. Here are 12 value-ladden gridiron gladiators to watch as teams jockey for playoff position. But first, let’s dig into the top projected Week 12 NFL DFS matchups.

Shootouts Alert: 3 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

1. Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5) at Houston Texans (+1.5)– O/U 48.5
   • CJ Stroud is averaging 387 passing yards per game across his last three games and is facing a Jacksonville D ranked 26th in fantasy points allowed to QBs.
   • The Houston D is also kind to quarterbacks, ranking 22nd in the league in fantasy points given up to the position.
   • Trevor Lawrence will have a chance to exploit that favorable matchup as he comes off of a 4 TD performance in Week 11.
2. Buffalo Bills (+3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) – O/U 48.0
   • Following the firing of their offensive coordinator, the Bills dropped 32 points on a solid New York defense.
   • The Eagles have been brutal defending WRs, with a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 52.9 fantasy points.
   • Stefon Diggs has slumped lately for the Bills with back-to-back duds, but a matchup against the league’s 32nd ranked defense in FPsFantasy points More allowed to WRs should help him out.
3. Los Angeles Rams (+1.0) at Arizona Cardinals (-1.0) – O/U 44.5
   • The Rams have plenty of depth at running back which bodes well for LA as Arizona is ranked 30th in the league in fantasy points allowed to RBs.
   • The Cardinals gave up over 400 yards to Houston last week and are giving up 25 points per game across their last four.
   • Kyler Murray has looked good since returning to the Cardinals and has done ample damage on the ground, with 84 rushing yards in his last two games.

Contrarian Corner: 3 Under-the-Radar Players to Watch

1. Tommy Devito, QB, New York Giants, $5,200
   • The Third String QB for the Giants has 5 touchdowns across the last two weeks.
   • The Patriots have a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More of 24 FPsFantasy points More.
   • After throwing for just 86 yards in Week 10, Devito rebounded in Week 11 and tossed a career high 246 yards.
2. Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, New England Patriots, $5,800
   • The New England D is averaging just 13 points per game across the last three weeks.
   • The Giants have a DvPL4Defense Versus Position (Last 4 Games) This is the median number of fantasy points the opponent has allowed to players of the same position. The calculation is based on the opponent's last 4 games. More 24.1 FPsFantasy points More.
   • Stevenson has seen plenty of targets, with 21 in the last four weeks.
3. Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers, $4,900
   • Johnson has just 33 receiving yards in the last two weeks but with the Steelers firing their offensive coordinator the WR may benefit from a fresh look.
   • Despite the low yardage totals, Johnson does have a Tgt%L4 of 29%.
   • The Bengals are ranked 27th in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers.

Backup Brilliance: 3 Fill-in Players With Splash Potential

1. Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals, $4,600
   • With Tee Higgins banged up, Boyd has a chance at more opportunities.
   • Boyd has 18 targets across the last two weeks.
   • The Pittsburgh D is ranked 20th in the NFL in FPsFantasy points More allowed to WRs.
2. Rashid Shaheed, WR, New Orleans Saints, $4,300
   • With Michael Thomas leaving the game early in Week 10, Shaheed ended the day with 9 targets.
   • Derek Carr should be back under center for the Saints in Week 12.
   • The Falcons are giving up 28 points per game across their last three.
3. Jake Browning, QB, Cincinnati Bengals, $5,200
   • Browning has been with the Bengals since 2021 so he’s no stranger to this offense.
   • The backup QB managed a TD and no picks after coming in midgame.

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

1. Jonathan Taylor, RB, IND, $6,900
   • 2nd best TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More, favored at home against a TB run-D that is -1.1 standard deviations below average
2. Justin Watson, WR, KC, $3,000
   • Best TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More of any WR, favored by -9.5 against average coverage and oming of a breakout week
3. Trey McBride, TE, ARI, $4,700
   • Best TDCostTD Cost is the implied cost of a touchdown based on the player's salary and the player's TD prop line. This field shows what you'd have to pay for the player (in salary) if you wanted a guaranteed touchdown from him, based on his probability of scoring and his current salary. Low... More for a TE, +169 TD propA "TD Prop line" (or touchdown proposition line) is the odds of a player scoring at least one rushing or receiving touchdown in a game. The table below shows the approximate implied probability of a player scoring a TD in a game, based on his TD prop line (moneyline). More line, playing LA’s 31st ranked D vs TEs, and a target magnet

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