Week 11 NFL DFS Cheat Sheet – 2023

The Week 11 NFL DFS main slate is here, and it’s filled with bewitching matchups and unexpected X-factors. Let’s dive in and see which players could be an ace in the hole this weekend.

But first, here’s a rundown of three matchups that could lead the slate in fantasy point production.

Shootouts Alert: 3 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

  1. Arizona Cardinals (+4.0) at Houston Texans (-4.0) – O/U 47.5
    • CJ Stroud is averaging 413 passing yards per game across his last two and faces an Arizona D ranked 25th in fantasy points allowed to QBs.
    • Kyler Murray looked solid in his season debut last week with 249 passing yards and another 33 yards on the ground.
    • Houston’s running backs have a favorable matchup as the Cardinals come in ranked 30th in FPs allowed to rushers.
  2. Las Vegas Raiders (+12.0) at Miami Dolphins (-12.0) – O/U 48.0
    • Both teams struggled on offense in their last game but should improve given the softer defensive matchups.
    • Tyreek Hill has 8 TDs in 9 games this season
    • Josh Jacobs is averaging 18.3 FPs per game across his last three contests.
  3. Chicago Bears (+10.0) at Detroit Lions (-10.0) – O/U 46.5
    • Both quarterbacks face a bottom 10 D in fantasy points allowed to QBs.
    • The Lions are coming off of a strong offensive showing with 41 points against the Chargers.
    • Bears wide receivers could exploit the Detroit D’s subpar 33.4 DvPL4.

Contrarian Corner: 3 Under-the-Radar Players to Watch

  1. Cole Kmet, TE, Chicago Bears, $4,100
    • The Bears haven’t scored more than 17 points in three weeks, but Kmet has a floor of 9.6 FPs in those games.
    • Kmet has seen 25 targets across his last three games.
    • The Lions are ranked 25th in the NFL in FPs allowed to tight ends.
  2. Jahan Dotson, WR, Washington Commanders, $5,100
    • Dotson is coming off of a 2-target, 0-point outing in Week 10 but had 26 targets across his prior three games.
    • The wide receiver is going up against a Giant D with a DvPL4 of 34.8.
    • Dotson had touchdowns in back-to-back games prior to Week 10.
  3. Trey McBride, TE, Arizona Cardinals, $4,400
    • McBride has been alternating between bust and boom the last four weeks but has seen 34 targets across those four games.
    • In his first game with QB Kyler Murray returning from injury, McBride had 131 receiving yards.
    • The Texans are ranked 24th in fantasy points allowed to tight ends.

(Photo by Jeff Halstead/Icon Sportswire)

Backup Brilliance: 3 Fill-in Players With Splash Potential

  1. Tommy Devito, QB, New York Giants, $5,000
    • Devito has a solid matchup as the Commanders are dead last in the league in FPs allowed to quarterbacks.
    • The rookie QB tossed 2 TDs with just one turnover in Week 10.
    • While Devito only threw for 86 yards, he’s got a low price tag and can chip in yardage on the ground.
  2. Quentin Johnson, WR, Los Angeles Chargers, $4,200
    • With Keenan Allen playing through injury and Mike Williams still out, Johnson has a chance at more opportunities.
    • Johnson found the endzone for the first time in his NFL career in Week 10.
  3. Dorian Thompson-Robinson, QB, Cleveland Browns, $4,500
    • Thompson-Robinson is a massive dart throw and his most appealing quality is his low salary
    • The rookie QB is facing a Pittsburgh D with subpar coverage, and the Browns are at home, so it’s possible he could return 3X his salary (just needs 13.5 FPs to do so).

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

  1. Devin Singletary, RB, Houston Texans, $5,300
    • Lowest TDCost on the slate with a -135 TD prop line
    • Huge 150 yard rushing performance last week and faces a soft ARI run D
  2. Brian Robinson, RB, Washington Commanders, $5,800
    • 2nd best TDCost, a -122 TD prop line and a favorable NYG matchup
  3. Donald Parham Jr., TE, Los Angeles Chargers, $3,100
    • Low 11.66 TDCost, TE Gerald Everett is out, and LAC WRs are banged up.

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