Week 15 NFL DFS I “Under the Radar” Player Values

The Marquee Matchups for December 18, 2022:

  • Lions (6-7) at Jets (7-6) — The Motor City kitties have won five of their last six games and will try and keep that momentum going in New York.
  • Bengals (9-4) at Tampa Bay (6-7) — Brady and the Bucs look to rebound from an embarassing 35-7 blowout loss.
  • Giants (7-5-1) at Commanders (7-5-1) — An NFC Wildcard duel between red hot Washington and the ice cold G-men.

Biggest totals in week 15:

The four games with the most scoring potential, based on the Vegas consensus.

Slate

Team

Spread

O/U

Line

Early Slate

PHI

-8.5

O 48.5

-410

@ CHI

+8.5

U 48.5

+330

KC

-14.5

O 48.5

-900

@ HOU

+14.5

U 48.5

+625

Afternoon Slate

TEN

+3

O 46.5

+125

@ LAC

-3

U 46.5

-145

NE

+2

O 45

+110

@ LV

-2

U 45

-130

Under The Radar DFS Players

Below are bargain bin options for the NFL’s 15th week. (See methodology below)

Early Slate Value Plays

Player

Salary

Reasoning

Zonovan Knight  |  RB, NYJ

$5,300

Led team in rushing oppurtunities and red zone oppurtunities in Week 14. Has 298 yards over last three games.

Isiah Pacheco  |  RB, KC

$5,900

HOU D ranks 32nd in FP's allowed RB's. HOU D giving up 165.8 rushing yds/g (32nd).

Dalton Schultz  |  TE, DAL

$4,400

JAX D ranks 26th in FP's allowed to TE's. Coming off 10 target game in week 14.

Afternoon Slate Value Plays

Player

Salary

Reasoning

Mike Williams  |  WR, LAC

$6,300

TEN D ranks 32nd in FP'S allowed to WR's. Had 26.6 FP's in return to lineup in Week 14.

Marlon Mack  |  RB, DEN

$4,400

Mack had 77 total yards and a TD on five touches in Week 14. ARI D ranks 22nd in FP's allowed to RB's.

Ryan Tannehill  |  QB, TEN

$5,300

LAC D has given up 25.1 PPG on season (28th). Tannehill has been a QB1 in three of his last five game

How this works

Every week, we analyze three “under the radar” NFL DFS values from the early and afternoon slates on DraftKings. The goal being, to find players with more than a 40% chance of scoring four times their salary. That means a DraftKings fantasy point performance greater than [Sal($k)] x 4.

Among other things, we factor in:

  1. Only DraftKings players with salaries of $6,900 or less
  2. Team matchups
  3. Whether projected opportunities are sufficient to return 4x DFS value
  4. The week 15 NFL injury report for fantasy players.

Uncovering players who blow up for 4x value isn’t easy, but it’s vital for anyone hoping to win tournaments consistently.

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