The Marquee Matchups for December 18, 2022:
- Lions (6-7) at Jets (7-6) — The Motor City kitties have won five of their last six games and will try and keep that momentum going in New York.
- Bengals (9-4) at Tampa Bay (6-7) — Brady and the Bucs look to rebound from an embarassing 35-7 blowout loss.
- Giants (7-5-1) at Commanders (7-5-1) — An NFC Wildcard duel between red hot Washington and the ice cold G-men.
Biggest totals in week 15:
The four games with the most scoring potential, based on the Vegas consensus.
Team | O/U | Line | ||
PHI | -8.5 | O 48.5 | -410 | |
@ CHI | +8.5 | U 48.5 | +330 | |
KC | -14.5 | O 48.5 | -900 | |
@ HOU | +14.5 | U 48.5 | +625 | |
Afternoon SlateA slate is a list of games, typically starting around the same time of day. The most popular NFL slate in DFS is the "Main" slate, which usually has 10 or more games in the regular season. This is an example of DraftKing's main slate for NFL Some slates includes as few as one gam... More | TEN | +3 | O 46.5 | +125 |
@ LAC | -3 | U 46.5 | -145 | |
NE | +2 | O 45 | +110 | |
@ LV | -2 | U 45 | -130 |
Under The Radar DFS Players
Below are bargain bin options for the NFL’s 15th week. (See methodology below)
Early Slate Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Zonovan Knight | RB, NYJ | $5,300 | Led team in rushing oppurtunities and red zone oppurtunities in Week 14. Has 298 yards over last three games. |
Isiah Pacheco | RB, KC | $5,900 | HOU D ranks 32nd in FP's allowed RB's. HOU D giving up 165.8 rushing yds/g (32nd). |
Dalton Schultz | TE, DAL | $4,400 | JAX D ranks 26th in FP's allowed to TE's. Coming off 10 target game in week 14. |
Afternoon Slate Value Plays
Player | Salary | Reasoning |
Mike Williams | WR, LAC | $6,300 | TEN D ranks 32nd in FP'S allowed to WR's. Had 26.6 FP's in return to lineup in Week 14. |
Marlon Mack | RB, DEN | $4,400 | Mack had 77 total yards and a TD on five touches in Week 14. ARI D ranks 22nd in FP's allowed to RB's. |
Ryan Tannehill | QB, TEN | $5,300 | LAC D has given up 25.1 PPG on season (28th). Tannehill has been a QB1 in three of his last five game |
How this works
Every week, we analyze three “under the radar” NFL DFS values from the early and afternoon slates on DraftKings. The goal being, to find players with more than a 40% chance of scoring four times their salary. That means a DraftKings fantasy point performance greater than [Sal($k)]A DFS Hub field that equals a player's salary divided by $1,000. $4.8 [Sal($k)] equals $4,800, for example. It's a short form of salary to make comparing salaries easier. More x 4.
Among other things, we factor in:
- Only DraftKings players with salaries of $6,900 or less
- Team matchups
- Whether projected opportunities are sufficient to return 4x DFS value
- The week 15 NFL injury report for fantasy players.
Uncovering players who blow up for 4x value isn’t easy, but it’s vital for anyone hoping to win tournaments consistently.
