Super Bowl LVII NFL DFS Player Values

February 12, 2023 — 6:30 p.m. ET:

The Chiefs (16-3) are underdogs as they meet the Eagles (16-3) in Super Bowl LVII. That could be all the motivation Mahomes, Travis Kelce and the Chiefs need to grab their second championship ring of the 2020s. They face off against Jalen Hurts and a hard-hitting Eagles defense, one that led the NFL in sacks by a wide margin.

(Records shown include playoff games)

Vegas odds for Super Bowl LVII:

As of Saturday, here’s the Vegas consensus for Super Bowl LVII.






Super Bowl Odds



O 51




U 51


Under The Radar DFS Players

Below are potential bargain bin options from the Super Bowl. (See methodology below)

Kansas City Chiefs Value Plays




Marquez Valdes-Scantling  |  WR, KC


Has scored a touchdown in both of KC’s postseason games. Target percentage of 18% over last four games. Scored a season high 26.6 FPs in AFC Championship game.

Harrison Butker  


Averaging 11 FPs per game over last three games with 13 FPs in both postseason games. Has hit all five field goal attempts this postseason.

Kadarius Toney  


Has at least 10 FPs in three of last four games. With Mecole Hardman out, Toney should see an increase in targets and should continue to see red zone opportunities.

Philadelphia Eagles Value Plays




Kenneth Gainwell   RB, PHI


Averaging 10 opportunities per game over last four games and received more carries than Miles Sanders in NFC Championship game, including three red zone opportunities. Had 14 carries and three targets in NFC Championship game. Has scored 31.5 FPs in two postseason games.

Dallas Goedert   TE, PHI


KC D ranks 23rd in FPs allowed to TEs. Averaging six targets per game over last four games with a target percentage of 20%.

Boston Scott  


Has scored a touchdown in each of the last three games. Averaging 9.6 FPs per game over last three games with a floor of 8.1 FPs.

How This Works

Every week, we analyze three “under the radar” NFL DFS values from the early and afternoon slates on DraftKings. The goal is to find players with more than a 40% chance of scoring four times their salary. That means a DraftKings fantasy point performance greater than [Sal($k)] x 4.

Among other things, we factor in:

  1. Only DraftKings players with salaries of $6,900 or less
  2. Team matchups
  3. Whether projected opportunities are sufficient to return 4x DFS value
  4. The Super Bowl NFL injury report for fantasy players.

Uncovering players who blow up for 4x value isn’t easy, but it’s vital for anyone hoping to win tournaments consistently.

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