Week 2 NFL DFS Cheatsheet – 2023

nico collins dfs 2023

In Week 2, DFS Hub is serving up another four-course meal of contrarian picks, backup gems, and high-value props, led off by our house selection of NFL games to target.

(Note: This DFS cheat sheet is handcrafted specifically for Sunday’s “main slate” DraftKings contest.)

Shootouts: 3 Games That Could Generate Fat Fantasy Totals

Here’s a trio of matchups with the potential to rain fantasy points like confetti at a Mardi Gras parade.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) — O/U: 51.0
    • Calvin Ridley didn’t miss a beat in his highly anticipated return to NFL action.
    • With weapons galore, a mature Trevor Lawrence has the talent and team to keep up with KC, at home.
    • Vegas bettors are pounding the KC moneyline and -3 spread in this game, as well as the over (51).
  2. Las Vegas Raiders (+9) at Buffalo Bills (-9)O/U: 47.0
    • After a multitude of turnovers against the Jets in Jersey, Josh Allen must return to form at home.
    • Davante Adams had ~35% of his team’s targets in Week 1 and should continue to dominate those looks.
    • Betting action implies the Raiders could keep it closer than the line suggests.
  3. Seattle Seahawks (+5.5) at Detroit Lions (-5.5)O/U: 46.5
    • The Lions outpaced the reigning champs offense and Jared Goff plays dramatically better at home.
    • Seattle’s deep receiving corp will look to click this week after a tough performance to start the year.
    • Vegas sharp-money betting trends suggest the Seahawks will be a hidden fantasy threat in this game.
  1. Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit Lions, $3,900
    • Despite rookie tight ends often being avoided, Sam LaPorta had five catches on five targets in Week 1.
    • LaPorta had an 83% snap share and is firmly entrenched as Detroit’s starting tight end.
    • SEA allowed the 2nd-most fantasy points to tight ends last season and were 30th in TE DVOA in week 1.
  2. Tyler Allgeier, RB, Atlanta Falcons $5,500
    • Many expected Bijan Robinson to run the show, but Tyler Allgeier is just as much a part of Atlanta’s offense.
    • Allgeier had 15 carries in Week 1, five more Robinson, and five opportunities in the Red Zone.
    • The second-year running back found the endzone twice in Week 1 and should get chances to score again.
  3. Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans, $4,900
    • The Houston Texans offense is far from impressive, but Nico Collins saw 11 targets in Week 1.
    • Collins has 37 targets across his last four games for Houston.
    • The Colts D was shredded last week through the air, so Collins has a chance to exploit their secondary.
ATLANTA, GA Ð SEPTEMBER 10: Atlanta running back Tyler Allgeier (25) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the NFL game between the Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons on September 10th, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)

Backup Brilliance: Fill-in players at decent salaries with splash potential

  1. Justice Hill, RB, Baltimore Ravens, $4,900
    • Hill scored two rushing TDs last week and got multiple looks in the Red Zone.
    • With JK Dobbins out for the season, Hill should see more opportunities in the passing game as well.
  2. Joshua Kelley, RB Los Angeles Chargers, $5,000
    • Kelley tallied 91 yards and a TD while only getting half the touches in week 1
    • He’s got the lowest cost per expected TD and Ekeler (Doubtful) is likely out, not having practiced all week
  3. AJ Dillon, RB, Green Bay Packers, $6,600
    • RB1 Aaron Jones (hamstring) didn’t practice all week and WR1 Christian Watson (hamstring) was limited Fri
    • Dillon will try hard to bounce back from his week 1 dud against a run defense ranked 18th in DVOA

Prop Bonanza: Flex players with high prop-to-salary ratios

  1. David Montgomery, RB, Detroit Lions, $5,800
    • A goal-line runner behind one of the best O-lines, facing the 20th-ranked rushing defense by DVOA
  2. Josh Reynolds, WR, Detroit Lions, $3,700
    • One of the lowest cost starters relative to his TD prop line
    • QB Goff has great chemistry with his former LA teammate and SEA ranks 30th against WR2s in DVOA
  3. Luke Musgrave, TE, Green Bay Packers, $3,200
    • After a solid week 1 debut, we faces against a beatable ATL tight-end defense
    • With RB Jones and WR Watson banged up, Musgrave is likely to see more action

Don’t forget to enter this week’s free NFL DFS contest for cash!